Jean Strong Catch vs Notre Dame

Predicting the College Football Playoff Top 10

After another great weekend of College Football, we sit trying to predicted what the College Football Playoff Committee will do.  We’ve now seen the movement with the polls but if there is one thing that the committee has proven, it’s that they are independent.  They have been looking at the “body of work” and eye test of these teams and carrying less weight on where the teams were ranked in the preseason.The tough part comes when we get to the grouping of Oregon, Arizona State, TCU, Baylor, Ohio State. A case could be made after the wins that Arizona State, TCU, and Ohio State posted this last weekend that all could be moved ahead of Oregon. It would be an accurate reflection of how each week these teams should be re-ranked based on what happens across the board in college football. Based on common opponents, Arizona State has had more impressive wins and dominated Notre Dame but they have a loss, where Florida State doesn’t. The question is, “Is a bad loss to a top team better then a win vs a bad team”, that’s where this committee could make a difference. If we took strength of schedule for 1 loss teams vs Florida State’s schedule, we could move them to 9th! Which is crazy to think about but it’s the truth and right now, they don’t look as good as the teams in that top 8. What appears to matter most in the rankings every week is who you beat, with that, TCU and Arizona State should move ahead of Alabama.

Now, I want to say, in no way do I think that these teams are better then Alabama but for this week they should be ranked higher. If Alabama beats Mississippi State, they will move two the #2 team next week. So for week 12 of the college football season, this is what we think the top 10 should be:

1.  Mississippi State

2.  Florida State

3.  TCU

4.  Oregon

5.  Arizona State

6.  Alabama

7.  Ohio State

8.  Baylor

9.  Auburn

10.  Ole Miss

Alabama or Arizona State or Oregon


Great Post!!! Love to see the comparisons side-by-side between these 3 schools.

Originally posted on Armchair College Football:

On the Facebook page today the MAWS-Gridshot (Aaron) challenged me (Aubrey) on Oregon and Arizona State being ahead of Alabama on the Performance Index because of strength of schedule. The reply was too big for a Facebook post so here is a post for everyone to enjoy! Thank you Aaron, because every time you question something on the Index I spend 2-3 hours making sure that I am confident in the numbers and the formulas I use! I should give Aaron half credit for creating the Index.

So I am going to try to stay away from too many complicated numbers and formulas and talk about these teams in basic strength of schedule terms.

First lets looks at how the Performance Index measures strength of schedule.

  1. How many ranked teams have been on the schedule up to this point? And that includes teams that were ranked after the fact or before…

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Pac-12 officials remain the worst, blow play dead despite ball-carrier not hit

Originally posted on Fan Buzz:

Throughout the season, there’s been some frustration with just how bad the Pac-12 officials have been.

In this Oregon State-Washington State contest, there’s more evidence to back up that sentiment.

Watch below as Washington State receiver Tyler Baker runs the ball right and a teammate lays a crushing block on an Oregon State defender. Instead of letting the play conclude, the official blows the whistle before Baker can trot into the end zone.

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The official surely had the safety of the players in mind, but he’s got to let things play out before calling it dead.

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College Football Games Left That Would Matter: BCS, 4-Team Playoff, 8-Team Playoff

Originally posted on The Big Lead:


College football altered its postseason process for 2014. This has affected the regular season, for the better, by expanding the number of relevant teams and, consequently, games. Here is an illustration of the games that would matter this season under the BCS vs. the four-team playoff. We threw in the eventual eight-team playoff for good measure.

We limited “relevant” games to games that were directly relevant. That means games that do not need an “if… then…” statement to matter. Oregon, for instance, would still be eligible under the BCS, but it would be contingent on other things happening. The game vs. Utah could have helped determine the national champion. But no one would know it had for a month.

For simplicity with the eight-team projection, we used two games out as a common sense cutoff for teams that are eliminated. Games that, at this stage, would be between ranked opponents…

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