Below are the picks for week 11.

These are pretty self explanatory. Each team has a projected score, which is adjusted for strength of schedule and home field advantage (except for games played on neutral fields). Each team also has an expected win probability, expressing how often you would expect team A to beat team B. Not all games are listed here, of course, as I am not collecting data on FCS teams.

If you are interested in seeing the ratings for each team, click here.

Week 10 Results

Last week’s picks can be found here.

• Straight Up- 40-14, 74.07%
• Against the Spread- 30-24, 55.56%

Season Results

Straight Up

Win Probability	Correct	Wrong	% Correct
50%-59.9%	73	45	61.86%
60%-69.9%	79	44	64.23%
70%-79.9%	82	25	76.64%
80%-89.9%	77	14	84.62%
90%-100%	54	1	98.18%
Total	365	129	73.89%

Against the Spread

263-222-9 (54.23%)

Week 11 picks after the…

The Oregon Ducks (8-1, 5-1) made a strong argument to be included in the College Football Playoff with a 45-16 home victory over the Stanford Cardinal (5-4, 3-3). Oregon ended a two game losing streak to the Cardinal with the victory.

Oregon scored six touchdowns on the Cardinal defense Saturday night. (Courtesy of Statesman Journal)

Oregon got the scoring early on, as quarterback Marcus Mariota found wide receiver Charles Nelson for a six-yard touchdown pass five minutes into the first quarter. The Cardinal would respond with a field goal several minutes later. But the Ducks continued to score touchdowns, while Stanford  continued to kick field goals.

Stanford ended up kicking three field goals, and scored one touchdown against Oregon. The Ducks scored six touchdowns, and didn’t even attempt a field goal.

For the Ducks, the big win should get them back into the selection committee’s top four spots and…