College Football Analytics
Every Team. Every Schedule. One National Model.
Independent projections built to separate true team strength from schedule opportunity—then let you test any matchup in the Rundown Game Lab.
Schedule-adjusted outlook
Top Projected Wins
| Projected-Wins Rank | Team | Conference | RPR Rank | Projected Wins | Market | Market Difference | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | #1Notre DameFighting Irish | Independent | #3RPR +26.8 | 10.89 | 11.5 | -0.61 | Lean |
| 2 | #2Texas TechRed Raiders | Big 12 | #7RPR +22.5 | 10.70 | 10.5 | +0.20 | No Edge |
| 3 | #3Ohio StateBuckeyes | Big Ten | #1RPR +32.8 | 10.37 | 9.5 | +0.87 | Strong |
| 4 | #4OregonDucks | Big Ten | #2RPR +29.2 | 10.31 | 10.5 | -0.19 | No Edge |
| 5 | #5IndianaHoosiers | Big Ten | #5RPR +25.8 | 10.11 | 10.5 | -0.39 | Lean |
| 6 | #6GeorgiaBulldogs | SEC | #4RPR +26.5 | 10.01 | 9.5 | +0.51 | Lean |
| 7 | #7Miami (FL)Hurricanes | ACC | #8RPR +21.9 | 10.00 | 10.5 | -0.50 | Lean |
| 8 | #8Penn StateNittany Lions | Big Ten | #17RPR +16.1 | 9.18 | 8.5 | +0.68 | Review |
| 9 | #9BYUCougars | Big 12 | #14RPR +16.8 | 9.11 | 8.5 | +0.61 | Lean |
| 10 | #10LSUTigers | SEC | #9RPR +21.4 | 8.97 | 8.5 | +0.47 | Lean |
Rundown Power Rating · RPR
Who is strongest—before the schedule gets a vote?
RPR is Rivals Rundown’s neutral-field measure of underlying team quality. It answers a different question than projected wins, revealing when a team’s record outlook is being lifted—or limited—by its schedule.
Compare all 138 RPR and projected-win ranks →Ohio State
+32.8Projected-wins rank #3RPR #2Oregon
+29.2Projected-wins rank #4RPR #3Notre Dame
+26.8Projected-wins rank #1| RPR Rank | Team | Conference | RPR | Projected-Wins Rank | Projected Wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ohio State | Big Ten | +32.8 | #3 | 10.37 |
| 2 | Oregon | Big Ten | +29.2 | #4 | 10.31 |
| 3 | Notre Dame | Independent | +26.8 | #1 | 10.89 |
| 4 | Georgia | SEC | +26.5 | #6 | 10.01 |
| 5 | Indiana | Big Ten | +25.8 | #5 | 10.11 |
| 6 | Texas | SEC | +24.6 | #13 | 8.77 |
| 7 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | +22.5 | #2 | 10.70 |
| 8 | Miami (FL) | ACC | +21.9 | #7 | 10.00 |
| 9 | LSU | SEC | +21.4 | #10 | 8.97 |
| 10 | Texas A&M | SEC | +20.9 | #18 | 8.44 |
| 11 | USC | Big Ten | +17.9 | #26 | 7.92 |
| 12 | Alabama | SEC | +17.9 | #21 | 8.11 |
| 13 | Oklahoma | SEC | +17.8 | #41 | 7.51 |
| 14 | BYU | Big 12 | +16.8 | #9 | 9.11 |
| 15 | Michigan | Big Ten | +16.7 | #37 | 7.60 |
| 16 | Ole Miss | SEC | +16.7 | #50 | 7.14 |
| 17 | Penn State | Big Ten | +16.1 | #8 | 9.18 |
| 18 | Tennessee | SEC | +15.8 | #46 | 7.32 |
| 19 | Washington | Big Ten | +15.2 | #28 | 7.90 |
| 20 | Florida | SEC | +14.8 | #54 | 7.09 |
| 21 | Missouri | SEC | +14.3 | #52 | 7.13 |
| 22 | Iowa | Big Ten | +12.9 | #33 | 7.81 |
| 23 | Clemson | ACC | +12.8 | #31 | 7.82 |
| 24 | South Carolina | SEC | +12.4 | #65 | 6.67 |
| 25 | Auburn | SEC | +12.0 | #64 | 6.71 |
Model vs. market
Largest projected-win differences
Top ten above and below the comparison total. These are model differences, not recommended wagers.
Conference rundown
Explore every league
ACC
RPR leader: Miami (FL)
14 teamsAmerican
RPR leader: Navy
16 teamsBig 12
RPR leader: Texas Tech
18 teamsBig Ten
RPR leader: Ohio State
10 teamsConference USA
RPR leader: Western Kentucky
2 teamsIndependent
RPR leader: Notre Dame
13 teamsMAC
RPR leader: Miami (OH)
10 teamsMountain West
RPR leader: UNLV
8 teamsPac-12
RPR leader: Boise State
Flex schedule16 teamsSEC
RPR leader: Georgia
14 teamsSun Belt
RPR leader: James Madison
Transparent by design
How the model works
Rate every team
RPR combines efficiency, roster continuity, quarterback experience, coaching stability and portal activity into neutral-field strength.
Analyze every game
Opponent strength, venue, travel, rest, road sequencing and matchup interactions create game-level margins.
Project the season
Simulations create expected wins and record distributions; the calibrated 15-point margin curve estimates game win probability.