American Athletic Conference Preseason Top 5 Prediction


American Athletic Conference

This by far and away is the easiest conference in the country to pick the preseason favorite to win!  Alabama in the SEC is a solid pick but it’s not a pure runaway pick like this newly created conference.  Now that the Big East is no longer a college football conference we find ourselves with a mash-up cast of characters that spreads from New Jersey to Florida to Texas to Ohio.  The conference which will see another makeover next year will have some good football but no great Rivalry’s.  With that being said, here is my predicted order of finish of the Top 5 for the new American Athletic Conference!

1. Louisville Cardinals 12-0

Louisville is faced with a very interesting conundrum, is the season a failure if they don’t go undefeated?  The answer to this question is YES!  Look, after coming off of an 11 win season last year, one that ended in a smackdown of a national power in Florida at the Sugar Bowl, Coach Charlie Strong is ready to show us his best Urban Meyer at Utah impersonation, go undefeated, play in another major bowl (not the national title, even if they go undefeated) and see if he can pass up a major football power like USC knocking on your door.  Led by an experience QB, Teddy Bridgewater, the Cardinals have 7 home games and then only travel to Kentucky, Temple, South Florida, Connecticut, and finishing with their toughest road game, Cincinnati.  Like we’ve seen before, the last game could be the trap game that keeps them out of back to back BCS Bowl appearances.  With that being said, the Cardinals will finish undefeated, and end up an another BCS game.

 2. Cincinnati Bearcats 11-1

Normally, I hate picking first year coaches or first year QB led teams to go one game away from a perfect season but Cincinnati might be the perfect storm this year.  With Tommy Tuberville coming from a successful stint at Texas Tech to Nippert Stadium, this team could easily run the table setting up a clash of “surprise” to the national media unbeatens, when the meet up with Louisville on Dec. 5th.  Cincinnati has a couple of B1G hurddles early on with Purdue and Illinois (both programs are down) then they will have a tough road match up with USF and Rutgers, if they pass those tests look for QB Brendon Kay and the Bearcats to be ready to play in a better bowl then last year.  The Oddsmakers have them at over 9.5 wins for a +120, I’ll take it.

 3. University of Central Florida Knights 9-3

The Knights are ready to make the move after a successful end to their stay at Conference USA with the possibility of being the dark horse in the new AAC.  The have the coach, George O’Leary going into his 11th year at UCF, they return solid starters on offense led by QB Blake Bortles who threw for over 3,000 yards last season, and they return enough experience on defense to be dangerous.  The only problem, schedule.  The Knights have early games against Penn State and South Carolina, they then have to travel to Louisville before the schedule opens up with 4 of 6 home games.  I’m looking at a team that will sit 3-3 to go 6-0 at the end of the season with a chance for back to back double digit wins in a bowl ending appearance.

 4. Rutgers Scarlet Knights 8-4

For a brief moment in time last year, Rutgers where the talk of the town.  They had one loss, a new coach, and looked like maybe just maybe they could make a BCS game, then a loss to Pitt and Louisville ended it all.  This year it’s a tough call for the Scarlet Knights, my heart wants to say that they will compete for a title but with Central Florida coming in and with tough road games to Fresno State and Louisville I’m calling for a close but no cigar this year for Rutgers

 5. University of Houston Cougars  7-5

This might be the toughest pick of this top 5, oh wait, yes it is the toughest pick, the reason…no one knows which Houston team is going to show up this year.  Is it the explosive double digit win team or is it the pathetic team that showed up last year, I’m going with something in the middle.  Houston has enough talent returning on offense to score with most of their schedule, the question is how many points will it’s defense give up?  They will try to answer that question in bringing in a new D.C in Dave Gibbs, Gibbs is coming in from the NFL and will install a 3-4 defense.  The schedule plays into Houston’s favor setting up some early victories but then takes a nasty turn with BYU, Rutgers, South Florida, UCF, Louisville, and Cincinnati.  Let’s see which Houston shows up!

Ranger Pool: The Official College Football Fantasy Game

ncaa_football_top58attendance07_cSo, a little back story before you ready the blog further, I am a second generation participant, this game was started by my father and his college buddies as a way to put some friendly bets on the college football season.  It’s a blast, mainly because once the season starts, your rosters are set.  It’s not something you have to check on weekly, it’s there and you start following and rooting for teams all over the country.  When I explain it to non-hardocre college fans, they usually laugh at the fact that the University of Ohio or Boise St. (before they played on the national stage) or any other mid-major was selected before Florida or USC, they don’t get it.  Those of us who live and die preseason reading, Phil Steele or Athlon Sports or The Sporting News or Lindy’s, we get it.  This football season, if you or your friends start a pool please let me know!  As our draft approaches I’ll be posting who I think will go in what round and will also post the draft results for the public to comment on.

 

The story goes, a long, long, time ago, in a gentleman’s club somewhere in what once was called East Phoenix, AZ, now it’s just Central Phoenix or Arcadia, a group of college aged friends created a college football pool for them to bet against each other.  The pool has continued for well over 30+ years across multiple states and including a number of participates in this underground fantasy game.

Well, now for the first time ever, the Official Rules of The Ranger Pool will be released and written for public viewing.

Over the years and with the expansion of Division I Football the rules have evolved but the format has stayed the same.

 

Ranger Pool:  The Official College Football Fantasy Game.

  1. There will be a number of 10 participates within the pool, no more no less.
  2. Each participate will draft 8 teams.
  3. The draft will take place before the first kick-off of the College Football Season
  4. Each participate will pick 1 team per draft round, therefore the are 8 rounds in the draft.
  5. A team can only be drafted once.
  6. There will be an official rules committee in place to enforce these rules, the official committee can be either voted on or establish by a majority of players.
  7. The Rules Committee will decide what the pool of draftable teams are.  For example, most leagues will only pick teams from Dvision I or FBS Division of Teams or whatever the major division of college football will be called in the future.  However, some leagues based on geographical area might want to include conferences from sub-divisions to increase the available pool of teams.
  8. The draft is a snake formula, however it is mathematically perfect, for example if you draft 1 overall in round 1, then round 2 you would draft 10th, round 3 you would draft 2. and so on and so forth.  The official drafting order for each participate can be emailed or sent by the official rules committee.  Note, this is different from Snake Drafts that you always pick the same picks in alternating rounds.
  9. Once the draft is completed and all participates have 8 college football teams on their roster, the league is set and ready for the season to begin.
  10. WInners and Losers:  The beautiful part of this Fantasy game is it’s simplicity.
  11. Victory is achieved by having the overall highest combined winning percentage of a participants teams!  For example:
    1. Participant 1 Teams-

Alabama 11-0

Texas      9-2

Arizona St. 8-4

Louisville    5-7

Georgia Tech  6-5

UNLV             7-4

Northwestern   3-8

Toledo             9-2

Win Total- 58 Loss Total- 32

Percentage- 64.44%

  1. Order of Finish will be determined using the above formula for each participant.
  2. The regular season of college football games count only, no conference championship games, no bowl games.  An alternative version can be played by using championship or bowl games as a tie-breaker.
  3. Payout:  If used for better purposes, buy-in is collected prior to draft and payout is to the top three finishers after the season has been completed.  It is recommend that payout occurs at an end of year banquet with all participants in Las Vegas during bowl season.

Bullish on the Huskers

Nebraska FootballExtremely bullish on @Huskers this year, looking for a top 10 finish and a big ten title game vs Ohio St

http://m.athlonsports.com/college-football/does-nebraska-believe-bo-pelini?utm_source=buffer&utm_campaign=Buffer&utm_content=buffer3c4ac&utm_medium=twitter

HT: Athlon Sports

Vegas Setting the Odds for Over/Under Wins for all of College Football!

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A big part of my preseason analysis of college football is trying to figure out how many wins each team is going to collect.  The preseason top 10 is pretty predictable, although, every now and then a team completely bombs, most recently Va Tech and Texas come to mind.  But let’s take a look at what 5dimeshas put together for us…

 

AIR FORCE: Over 6.5 (+120) Under 6.5 (-160)

AKRON: Over 2.5 (-140) Under 2.5 (EVEN)

ALABAMA: Over 11.5 (+140) Under 11.5 (-180)

ARIZONA: Over 7.5 (-120) Under 7.5 (-120)

ARIZONA STATE: Over 9.5 (+175) Under 9.5 (-245)

ARKANSAS: Over 5.5 (-140) Under 5.5 (EVEN)

ARKANSAS STATE: Over 7.5 (+160) Under 7.5 (-210)

ARMY: Over 4.5 (-110) Under 4.5 (-130)

AUBURN: Over 6.5 (+120) Under 6.5 (-160)

BALL STATE: Over 9.5 (+165) Under 9.5 (-215)

BAYLOR: Over 7.5 (-175) Under 7.5 (+135)

BOISE STATE: Over 10.5 (+120) Under 10.5 (-160)

BOSTON COLLEGE: Over 4.5 (+140) Under 4.5 (-180)

BOWLING GREEN: Over 8.5 (-150) Under 8.5 (+110)

BUFFALO: Over 5.5 (-140) Under 5.5 (EVEN)

BYU: Over 8.5 (+100) Under 8.5 (-140)

CALIFORNIA: Over 4.5 (+110) Under 4.5 (-150)

CENTRAL FLORIDA: Over 8.5 (+125) Under 8.5 (-165)

CENTRAL MICHIGAN: Over 4.5 (+130) Under 4.5 (-170)

CINCINNATI: Over 9.5 (+120) Under 9.5 (-160)

CLEMSON: Over 10.5 (+165) Under 10.5 (-215)

COLORADO: Over 3.5 (-160) Under 3.5 (+120)

COLORADO STATE: Over 5.5 (-195) Under 5.5 (+155)

CONNECTICUT: Over 5.5 (-140) Under 5.5 (+100)

DUKE: Over 5.5 (+120) Under 5.5 (-160)

EAST CAROLINA: Over 7.5 (-120) Under 7.5 (-120)

EASTERN MICHIGAN: Over 2.5 (+160) Under 2.5 (-210)

FLORIDA: Over 9.5 (+120) Under 9.5 (-160)

FLORIDA ATLANTIC: Over 3.5 (+155) Under 3.5 (-195)

FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL: Over 2.5 (-140) Under 2.5 (EVEN)

FLORIDA STATE: Over 10.5 (+110) Under 10.5 (-150)

FRESNO STATE: Over 10.5 (+120) Under 10.5 (-160)

GEORGIA: Over 9.5 (-195) Under 9.5 (+155)

GEORGIA STATE: Over 2.5 (+130) Under 2.5 (-170)

GEORGIA TECH: Over 8.5 (-120) Under 8.5 (-120)

HAWAII: Over 3.5 (-130) Under 3.5 (-110)

HOUSTON: Over 5.5 (+120) Under 5.5 (-160)

IDAHO: Over 1.5 (+220) Under 1.5 (-300)

ILLINOIS: Over 3.5 (-160) Under 3.5 (+120)

INDIANA: Over 5.5 (-190) Under 5.5 (+150)

IOWA: Over 5.5 (-120) Under 5.5 (-120)

IOWA STATE: Over 5.5 (+175) Under 5.5 (-245)

KANSAS: Over 3.5 (-120) Under 3.5 (-120)

KANSAS STATE: Over 8.5 (+155) Under 8.5 (-195)

KENTUCKY: Over 3.5 (-160) Under 3.5 (+120)

KENT STATE: Over 5.5 (-105) Under 5.5 (-135)

LOUISVILLE: Over 10.5 (-130) Under 10.5 (-110)

LOUISIANA TECH: Over 5.5 (-180) Under 5.5 (+140)

LSU: Over 9.5 (+120) Under 9.5 (-160)

MARSHALL: Over 9.5 (+125) Under 9.5 (-165)

MARYLAND: Over 6.5 (-140) Under 6.5 (EVEN)

MASSACHUSETTS: Over 1.5 (+155) Under 1.5 (-195)

MEMPHIS: Over 4.5 (-165) Under 4.5 (+125)

MIAMI: Over 9.5 (+150) Under 9.5 (-190)

MIAMI OHIO: Over 4.5 (+140) Under 4.5 (-180)

MICHIGAN: Over 9.5 (-155) Under 9.5 (+115)

MICHIGAN STATE: Over 8.5 (-120) Under 8.5 (-120)

MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE: Over 5.5 (-150) Under 5.5 (+110)

MINNESOTA: Over 5.5 (-120) Under 5.5 (-120)

MISSISSIPPI: Over 8.5 (+120) Under 8.5 (-160)

MISSISSIPPI STATE: Over 5.5 (+140) Under 5.5 (-180)

MISSOURI: Over 5.5 (-180) Under 5.5 (+140)

NAVY: Over 6.5 (-120) Under 6.5 (-120)

NC STATE: Over 6.5 (-185) Under 6.5 (+145)

NEBRASKA: Over 9.5 (EVEN) Under 9.5 (-140)

NEVADA: Over 6.5 (+140) Under 6.5 (-180)

NEW MEXICO: Over 4.5 (+140) Under 4.5 (-180)

NEW MEXICO STATE: Over 2.5 (-120) Under 2.5 (-120)

NORTH CAROLINA: Over 9.5 (+170) Under 9.5 (-230)

NORTH TEXAS: Over 5.5 (+170) Under 5.5 (-230)

NORTHERN ILLINOIS: Over 9.5 (-175) Under 9.5 (+135)

NORTHWESTERN: Over 8.5 (-130) Under 8.5 (-110)

NOTRE DAME: Over 9.5 (-105) Under 9.5 (-135)

OHIO: Over 9.5 (+140) Under 9.5 (-180)

OHIO STATE: Over 11.5 (+160) Under 11.5 (-210)

OKLAHOMA: Over 9.5 (+160) Under 9.5 (-210)

OKLAHOMA STATE: Over 10.5 (+170) Under 10.5 (-230)

OREGON: Over 10.5 (-190) Under 10.5 (+150)

OREGON STATE: Over 8.5 (-210) Under 8.5 (+160)

PENN STATE: Over 8.5 (+150) Under 8.5 (-190)

PITTSBURGH: Over 5.5 (-110) Under 5.5 (-130)

PURDUE: Over 5.5 (+175) Under 5.5 (-245)

RICE: Over 7.5 (-190) Under 7.5 (+150)

RUTGERS: Over 6.5 (+110) Under 6.5 (-150)

SAN DIEGO STATE: Over 7.5 (+140) Under 7.5 (-180)

SAN JOSE STATE: Over 7.5 (+100) Under 7.5 (-140)

SMU: Over 5.5 (+140) Under 5.5 (-180)

SOUTH ALABAMA: Over 2.5 (-155) Under 2.5 (+115)

SOUTH CAROLINA: Over 9.5 (-195) Under 9.5 (+155)

SOUTH FLORIDA: Over 5.5 (-180) Under 5.5 (+140)

SOUTHERN MISS: Over 5.5 (-130) Under 5.5 (-110)

STANFORD: Over 9.5 (-120) Under 9.5 (-120)

SYRACUSE: Over 4.5 (-120) Under 4.5 (-120)

TCU: Over 9.5 (+180) Under 9.5 (-260)

TEMPLE: Over 4.5 (+130) Under 4.5 (-170)

TENNESSEE: Over 5.5 (-210) Under 5.5 (+160)

TEXAS: Over 9.5 (-150) Under 9.5 (+110)

TEXAS A&M: Over 9.5 (-180) Under 9.5 (+140)

TEXAS STATE: Over 5.5 (+125) Under 5.5 (-165)

TEXAS TECH: Over 7.5 (+145) Under 7.5 (-185)

TOLEDO: Over 8.5 (+130) Under 8.5 (-170)

TROY: Over 5.5 (-195) Under 5.5 (+155)

TULANE: Over 5.5 (EVEN) Under 5.5 (-140)

TULSA: Over 8.5 (-185) Under 8.5 (+145)

UAB: Over 5.5 (+140) Under 5.5 (-180)

UCLA: Over 8.5 (+180) Under 8.5 (-260)

UL LAFAYETTE: Over 8.5 (-180) Under 8.5 (+140)

UL MONROE: Over 7.5 (+110) Under 7.5 (-150)

UNLV: Over 4.5 (EVEN) Under 4.5 (-140)

USC: Over 10.5 (+165) Under 10.5 (-215)

UTAH: Over 5.5 (+145) Under 5.5 (-185)

UTAH STATE: Over 7.5 (-150) Under 7.5 (+110)

UTEP: Over 4.5 (+120) Under 4.5 (-160)

UTSA: Over 2.5 (+115) Under 2.5 (-155)

VANDERBILT: Over 7.5 (EVEN) Under 7.5 (-140)

VIRGINIA: Over 4.5 (-120) Under 4.5 (-120)

VIRGINIA TECH: Over 9.5 (+140) Under 9.5 (-180)

WAKE FOREST: Over 5.5 (-170) Under 5.5 (+130)

WASHINGTON: Over 7.5 (-120) Under 7.5 (-120)

WASHINGTON STATE: Over 4.5 (-130) Under 4.5 (-110)

WEST VIRGINIA: Over 5.5 (-210) Under 5.5 (+160)

WESTERN KENTUCKY: Over 6.5 (-195) Under 6.5 (+155)

WESTERN MICHIGAN: Over 5.5 (-150) Under 5.5 (+110)

WISCONSIN: Over 8.5 (-210) Under 8.5 (+160)

WYOMING: Over 5.5 (-175) Under 5.5 (+135)

[H/T: CBS Sports, via Beyond the Bets]