SEC · Tigers · Auburn, AL
Auburn
Your complete Auburn season outlook.
Byrum Brown's system familiarity with Alex Golesh is a portable quarterback/coaching advantage that offsets extreme roster turnover.
Home stadiumJordan-Hare StadiumRPR rank#25Projected-wins rank#64
Projected wins6.71Most likely: 7 wins · 80% range 5–8
Rundown Power Rating +12.0Neutral-field strength
RPR Rank #25National power position
Schedule Strength Rank#21Opponent difficulty
Projected-Wins Rank #64Strength plus schedule
Market total6.5
Adjusted Edge +0.17
Probability over56%
Market basis12 games
Team profile
RPR and model ratings
- Rundown Power Rating
- +12.0
- National RPR Rank
- #25
- Schedule strength rank
- #21
- Average opponent power
- +8.4
- Offense rating
- 29.2
- Defense rating
- 17.6
- Projected QB
- Byrum Brown
- QB starts
- 37
- QB confidence
- High
- Head coach
- Alex Golesh
- Returning starters
- 3
- Portal rank
- 4
- Roster fragility
- 46.7
Record outcomes
Win distribution
0<1%
1<1%
2<1%
31.3%
45.5%
514.2%
623.3%
725.5%
818.3%
98.6%
102.6%
11<1%
12<1%
13<1%
Game by game
2026 projected scores and probabilities
Expected scores and margins are model means, not exact-score guarantees.
Each matchup becomes a compact projection card on portrait phones.
| Game | Date | Opponent | Location | Projected score | Projected total | Projected margin | Win probability | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5, 2026 | Neutral | 31–23 | 53.7 | +8.1 | 70% | Medium | |
| 2 | Sep 12, 2026 | Home | 44–7 | 51.0 | +36.9 | 99% | Low | |
| 3 | Sep 19, 2026 | Home | 23–24 | 45.6 | -0.5 | 49% | Low | |
| 4 | Sep 26, 2026 | Home | 29–23 | 51.8 | +5.6 | 64% | Medium | |
| 5 | Oct 3, 2026 | Away | 25–30 | 54.2 | -5.0 | 37% | Medium | |
| 6 | Oct 17, 2026 | Away | 17–32 | 48.8 | -15.6 | 15% | High | |
| 7 | Oct 24, 2026 | Home | 19–26 | 45.4 | -6.6 | 33% | Medium | |
| 8 | Oct 31, 2026 | Away | 22–28 | 50.7 | -6.0 | 34% | Medium | |
| 9 | Nov 7, 2026 | Home | 33–22 | 55.3 | +10.9 | 77% | Medium | |
| 10 | Nov 14, 2026 | Away | 29–23 | 51.8 | +6.0 | 66% | Medium | |
| 11 | Nov 21, 2026 | Samford | Home | 38–11 | 49.0 | +26.5 | 96% | Medium |
| 12 | Nov 28, 2026 | Away | 18–26 | 44.2 | -8.3 | 29% | Medium |
Projection context
These projections reflect the current Rivals Rundown football inputs and are refreshed as the underlying information changes.
Model version 5. RPR, rankings, margins and probabilities are estimates, not guarantees.