ACC · Orange · Syracuse, NY
Syracuse
Your complete Syracuse season outlook.
The defense returns useful experience, but low-confidence quarterback projection and Notre Dame close the schedule with substantial offensive uncertainty.
Home stadiumJMA Wireless DomeRPR rank#70Projected-wins rank#114
Projected wins4.27Most likely: 4 wins · 80% range 3–6
Rundown Power Rating -0.8Neutral-field strength
RPR Rank #70National power position
Schedule Strength Rank#36Opponent difficulty
Projected-Wins Rank #114Strength plus schedule
Market total4.5
Adjusted Edge -0.10
Probability over43%
Market basis12 games
Team profile
RPR and model ratings
- Rundown Power Rating
- -0.8
- National RPR Rank
- #70
- Schedule strength rank
- #36
- Average opponent power
- +5.5
- Offense rating
- 23.6
- Defense rating
- 24.9
- Projected QB
- Steve Angeli
- QB starts
- 4
- QB confidence
- Low
- Head coach
- Fran Brown
- Returning starters
- 8
- Portal rank
- 11
- Roster fragility
- 49.5
Record outcomes
Win distribution
0<1%
12.7%
29.7%
319.6%
425.0%
521.5%
613.1%
75.9%
81.8%
9<1%
10<1%
11<1%
12<1%
13<1%
Game by game
2026 projected scores and probabilities
Expected scores and margins are model means, not exact-score guarantees.
Each matchup becomes a compact projection card on portrait phones.
| Game | Date | Opponent | Location | Projected score | Projected total | Projected margin | Win probability | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5, 2026 | New Hampshire | Home | 30–19 | 50.0 | +11.0 | 77% | Medium |
| 2 | Sep 12, 2026 | Home | 25–27 | 51.4 | -2.4 | 44% | Low | |
| 3 | Sep 17, 2026 | Away | 20–31 | 51.3 | -10.3 | 25% | High | |
| 4 | Oct 3, 2026 | Away | 29–21 | 50.4 | +7.5 | 69% | Low | |
| 5 | Oct 10, 2026 | Away | 18–28 | 46.8 | -10.1 | 25% | Medium | |
| 6 | Oct 17, 2026 | Home | 20–29 | 49.0 | -9.8 | 26% | Medium | |
| 7 | Oct 24, 2026 | Away | 20–27 | 46.5 | -6.9 | 32% | Medium | |
| 8 | Oct 31, 2026 | Home | 20–30 | 50.5 | -9.7 | 26% | Medium | |
| 9 | Nov 7, 2026 | Home | 18–29 | 46.8 | -10.8 | 24% | Medium | |
| 10 | Nov 14, 2026 | Away | 22–31 | 52.4 | -8.7 | 28% | Medium | |
| 11 | Nov 21, 2026 | Away | 24–26 | 50.5 | -2.3 | 44% | Low | |
| 12 | Nov 28, 2026 | Home | 14–38 | 51.7 | -24.6 | 5% | High |
Projection context
These projections reflect the current Rivals Rundown football inputs and are refreshed as the underlying information changes.
Model version 5. RPR, rankings, margins and probabilities are estimates, not guarantees.
