ACC · Hokies · Blacksburg, VA
Virginia Tech
Your complete Virginia Tech season outlook.
Fourteen returning starters, James Franklin and quality portal additions create the conference's strongest improvement profile; first-year system integration remains the risk.
Home stadiumLane StadiumRPR rank#31Projected-wins rank#39
Projected wins7.53Most likely: 8 wins · 80% range 6–9
Rundown Power Rating +10.2Neutral-field strength
RPR Rank #31National power position
Schedule Strength Rank#55Opponent difficulty
Projected-Wins Rank #39Strength plus schedule
Market total6.5
Adjusted Edge +0.75
Probability over75%
Market basis12 games
Team profile
RPR and model ratings
- Rundown Power Rating
- +10.2
- National RPR Rank
- #31
- Schedule strength rank
- #55
- Average opponent power
- +3.4
- Offense rating
- 31.4
- Defense rating
- 21.3
- Projected QB
- Ethan Grunkemeyer
- QB starts
- 5
- QB confidence
- Medium-High
- Head coach
- James Franklin
- Returning starters
- 14
- Portal rank
- 4
- Roster fragility
- 37.1
Record outcomes
Win distribution
0<1%
1<1%
2<1%
3<1%
42.0%
56.8%
615.4%
723.6%
824.9%
917.4%
107.6%
111.8%
12<1%
13<1%
Game by game
2026 projected scores and probabilities
Expected scores and margins are model means, not exact-score guarantees.
Each matchup becomes a compact projection card on portrait phones.
| Game | Date | Opponent | Location | Projected score | Projected total | Projected margin | Win probability | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5, 2026 | VMI | Home | 45–7 | 52.3 | +37.6 | 99% | Medium |
| 2 | Sep 12, 2026 | Home | 33–16 | 48.7 | +17.4 | 88% | High | |
| 3 | Sep 19, 2026 | Away | 27–24 | 50.5 | +3.2 | 58% | Low | |
| 4 | Sep 26, 2026 | Away | 31–22 | 52.8 | +9.1 | 73% | Medium | |
| 5 | Oct 2, 2026 | Home | 30–24 | 53.6 | +5.9 | 65% | Medium | |
| 6 | Oct 10, 2026 | Away | 29–25 | 53.7 | +3.6 | 59% | Low | |
| 7 | Oct 17, 2026 | Home | 29–23 | 52.4 | +6.6 | 67% | Medium | |
| 8 | Oct 24, 2026 | Away | 22–27 | 49.1 | -5.5 | 36% | Medium | |
| 9 | Nov 6, 2026 | Away | 25–28 | 52.8 | -3.6 | 41% | Low | |
| 10 | Nov 14, 2026 | Home | 32–17 | 49.4 | +14.7 | 84% | High | |
| 11 | Nov 20, 2026 | Away | 18–32 | 50.3 | -14.6 | 17% | High | |
| 12 | Nov 28, 2026 | Home | 27–22 | 49.1 | +5.7 | 65% | Medium |
Projection context
These projections reflect the current Rivals Rundown football inputs and are refreshed as the underlying information changes.
Model version 5. RPR, rankings, margins and probabilities are estimates, not guarantees.