ACC · Hurricanes · Coral Gables, FL
Miami (FL)
Your complete Miami (FL) season outlook.
Darian Mensah, the ACC's highest-rated portal class and an elite defensive baseline make Miami the league favorite, with schedule travel the main drag.
Home stadiumHard Rock StadiumRPR rank#8Projected-wins rank#7
Projected wins10.00Most likely: 10 wins · 80% range 9–11
Rundown Power Rating +21.9Neutral-field strength
RPR Rank #8National power position
Schedule Strength Rank#49Opponent difficulty
Projected-Wins Rank #7Strength plus schedule
Market total10.5
Adjusted Edge -0.50
Probability over36%
Market basis12 games
Team profile
RPR and model ratings
- Rundown Power Rating
- +21.9
- National RPR Rank
- #8
- Schedule strength rank
- #49
- Average opponent power
- +4.2
- Offense rating
- 34.9
- Defense rating
- 13.5
- Projected QB
- Darian Mensah
- QB starts
- 25
- QB confidence
- High
- Head coach
- Mario Cristobal
- Returning starters
- 9
- Portal rank
- 1
- Roster fragility
- 28.6
Record outcomes
Win distribution
0<1%
1<1%
2<1%
3<1%
4<1%
5<1%
6<1%
71.9%
87.9%
921.0%
1033.2%
1127.7%
128.0%
13<1%
Game by game
2026 projected scores and probabilities
Expected scores and margins are model means, not exact-score guarantees.
Each matchup becomes a compact projection card on portrait phones.
| Game | Date | Opponent | Location | Projected score | Projected total | Projected margin | Win probability | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 4, 2026 | Away | 34–13 | 47.1 | +20.6 | 92% | High | |
| 2 | Sep 10, 2026 | Florida A&M | Home | 44–6 | 49.9 | +37.3 | 99% | Medium |
| 3 | Sep 18, 2026 | Away | 30–16 | 46.0 | +14.9 | 84% | High | |
| 4 | Sep 26, 2026 | Home | 42–5 | 47.2 | +36.7 | 99% | High | |
| 5 | Oct 3, 2026 | Away | 26–20 | 46.7 | +6.1 | 66% | Medium | |
| 6 | Oct 17, 2026 | Home | 32–17 | 49.0 | +15.8 | 85% | High | |
| 7 | Oct 24, 2026 | Home | 35–17 | 51.2 | +18.2 | 89% | High | |
| 8 | Oct 31, 2026 | Away | 31–16 | 46.4 | +15.0 | 84% | High | |
| 9 | Nov 7, 2026 | Away | 23–29 | 51.6 | -6.6 | 33% | Medium | |
| 10 | Nov 14, 2026 | Home | 37–17 | 54.6 | +19.8 | 91% | High | |
| 11 | Nov 20, 2026 | Home | 32–18 | 50.3 | +14.6 | 83% | High | |
| 12 | Nov 28, 2026 | Home | 38–12 | 50.4 | +25.9 | 96% | High |
Projection context
These projections reflect the current Rivals Rundown football inputs and are refreshed as the underlying information changes.
Model version 5. RPR, rankings, margins and probabilities are estimates, not guarantees.