Big Ten · Terrapins · College Park, MD
Maryland
Your complete Maryland season outlook.
Fourteen returning starters create one of the league's best continuity profiles, although the roster still lacks top-end proven depth.
Home stadiumSECU StadiumRPR rank#50Projected-wins rank#87
Projected wins5.79Most likely: 6 wins · 80% range 5–7
Rundown Power Rating +4.3Neutral-field strength
RPR Rank #50National power position
Schedule Strength Rank#37Opponent difficulty
Projected-Wins Rank #87Strength plus schedule
Market total5.5
Adjusted Edge +0.42
Probability over58%
Market basis12 games
Team profile
RPR and model ratings
- Rundown Power Rating
- +4.3
- National RPR Rank
- #50
- Schedule strength rank
- #37
- Average opponent power
- +5.5
- Offense rating
- 26.3
- Defense rating
- 22.5
- Projected QB
- Malik Washington
- QB starts
- 12
- QB confidence
- Medium
- Head coach
- Mike Locksley
- Returning starters
- 14
- Portal rank
- 16
- Roster fragility
- 27.9
Record outcomes
Win distribution
0<1%
1<1%
21.0%
34.9%
413.4%
523.0%
625.7%
719.1%
89.3%
92.8%
10<1%
11<1%
12<1%
13<1%
Game by game
2026 projected scores and probabilities
Expected scores and margins are model means, not exact-score guarantees.
Each matchup becomes a compact projection card on portrait phones.
| Game | Date | Opponent | Location | Projected score | Projected total | Projected margin | Win probability | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5, 2026 | Hampton | Home | 40–10 | 50.1 | +29.6 | 98% | Medium |
| 2 | Sep 12, 2026 | Away | 32–19 | 50.6 | +12.8 | 80% | Medium | |
| 3 | Sep 19, 2026 | Home | 24–27 | 50.5 | -3.2 | 42% | Low | |
| 4 | Sep 26, 2026 | Home | 26–25 | 50.8 | +1.0 | 53% | Low | |
| 5 | Oct 3, 2026 | Away | 21–28 | 49.5 | -6.9 | 32% | Medium | |
| 6 | Oct 10, 2026 | Away | 9–40 | 48.9 | -30.7 | 2% | High | |
| 7 | Oct 17, 2026 | Home | 29–25 | 54.1 | +4.1 | 61% | Medium | |
| 8 | Oct 31, 2026 | Home | 24–27 | 51.5 | -2.8 | 42% | Low | |
| 9 | Nov 7, 2026 | Away | 27–22 | 49.6 | +5.1 | 63% | Medium | |
| 10 | Nov 14, 2026 | Home | 24–19 | 43.2 | +5.2 | 64% | Medium | |
| 11 | Nov 21, 2026 | Away | 19–35 | 53.8 | -16.6 | 13% | High | |
| 12 | Nov 28, 2026 | Home | 20–30 | 50.5 | -9.6 | 26% | Medium |
Projection context
These projections reflect the current Rivals Rundown football inputs and are refreshed as the underlying information changes.
Model version 5. RPR, rankings, margins and probabilities are estimates, not guarantees.