ACC · Cardinal · Stanford, CA
Stanford
Your complete Stanford season outlook.
Davis Warren and ten returning starters provide stability, but a new staff, limited portal volume and repeated eastern travel keep the median low.
Home stadiumStanford StadiumRPR rank#76Projected-wins rank#123
Projected wins3.64Most likely: 3 wins · 80% range 2–5
Rundown Power Rating -1.8Neutral-field strength
RPR Rank #76National power position
Schedule Strength Rank#25Opponent difficulty
Projected-Wins Rank #123Strength plus schedule
Market total3.5
Adjusted Edge +0.14
Probability over52%
Market basis12 games
Team profile
RPR and model ratings
- Rundown Power Rating
- -1.8
- National RPR Rank
- #76
- Schedule strength rank
- #25
- Average opponent power
- +7.5
- Offense rating
- 22.8
- Defense rating
- 24.0
- Projected QB
- Davis Warren
- QB starts
- 12
- QB confidence
- Low-Medium
- Head coach
- Tavita Pritchard
- Returning starters
- 10
- Portal rank
- 17
- Roster fragility
- 41.3
Record outcomes
Win distribution
00.7%
15.4%
216.1%
325.8%
425.2%
516.5%
67.5%
72.3%
80.5%
9<1%
10<1%
11<1%
12<1%
13<1%
Game by game
2026 projected scores and probabilities
Expected scores and margins are model means, not exact-score guarantees.
Each matchup becomes a compact projection card on portrait phones.
| Game | Date | Opponent | Location | Projected score | Projected total | Projected margin | Win probability | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 29, 2026 | Home | 28–23 | 51.1 | +4.5 | 62% | Medium | |
| 2 | Sep 4, 2026 | Home | 13–34 | 47.1 | -20.6 | 8% | High | |
| 3 | Sep 19, 2026 | Away | 22–32 | 53.7 | -10.5 | 24% | High | |
| 4 | Sep 26, 2026 | Home | 22–27 | 49.1 | -5.5 | 36% | Medium | |
| 5 | Oct 3, 2026 | Away | 19–27 | 45.1 | -8.1 | 29% | Medium | |
| 6 | Oct 10, 2026 | Away | 10–41 | 50.7 | -30.5 | 2% | High | |
| 7 | Oct 17, 2026 | Elon | Home | 31–18 | 49.0 | +12.8 | 80% | Medium |
| 8 | Oct 23, 2026 | Home | 23–28 | 51.4 | -5.1 | 37% | Medium | |
| 9 | Oct 31, 2026 | Away | 16–32 | 48.1 | -16.1 | 14% | Medium | |
| 10 | Nov 14, 2026 | Away | 17–32 | 49.4 | -14.7 | 16% | High | |
| 11 | Nov 21, 2026 | Away | 21–30 | 50.5 | -8.8 | 28% | Medium | |
| 12 | Nov 28, 2026 | Home | 19–30 | 49.5 | -10.5 | 24% | High |
Projection context
These projections reflect the current Rivals Rundown football inputs and are refreshed as the underlying information changes.
Model version 5. RPR, rankings, margins and probabilities are estimates, not guarantees.