Big 12 · Buffaloes · Boulder, CO
Colorado
Your complete Colorado season outlook.
Incoming talent is offset by youth at quarterback, no returning defensive starters and persistent roster churn.
Home stadiumFolsom FieldRPR rank#65Projected-wins rank#116
Projected wins4.23Most likely: 4 wins · 80% range 3–6
Rundown Power Rating +0.2Neutral-field strength
RPR Rank #65National power position
Schedule Strength Rank#31Opponent difficulty
Projected-Wins Rank #116Strength plus schedule
Market total4.5
Adjusted Edge +0.11
Probability over42%
Market basis12 games
Team profile
RPR and model ratings
- Rundown Power Rating
- +0.2
- National RPR Rank
- #65
- Schedule strength rank
- #31
- Average opponent power
- +6.2
- Offense rating
- 25.7
- Defense rating
- 25.0
- Projected QB
- Julian Lewis
- QB starts
- 2
- QB confidence
- Low-Medium
- Head coach
- Deion Sanders
- Returning starters
- 4
- Portal rank
- 4
- Roster fragility
- 72.4
Record outcomes
Win distribution
0<1%
13.3%
210.8%
319.9%
423.8%
520.6%
612.7%
76.0%
82.1%
90.5%
10<1%
11<1%
12<1%
13<1%
Game by game
2026 projected scores and probabilities
Expected scores and margins are model means, not exact-score guarantees.
Each matchup becomes a compact projection card on portrait phones.
| Game | Date | Opponent | Location | Projected score | Projected total | Projected margin | Win probability | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 3, 2026 | Away | 21–30 | 51.3 | -8.4 | 29% | Low | |
| 2 | Sep 12, 2026 | Weber State | Home | 34–17 | 51.2 | +17.6 | 88% | Low |
| 3 | Sep 19, 2026 | Away | 20–27 | 47.3 | -6.9 | 32% | Medium | |
| 4 | Sep 26, 2026 | Away | 25–31 | 56.0 | -6.9 | 32% | Medium | |
| 5 | Oct 3, 2026 | Home | 15–35 | 50.3 | -19.5 | 10% | Medium | |
| 6 | Oct 17, 2026 | Home | 22–31 | 52.6 | -8.8 | 28% | Medium | |
| 7 | Oct 24, 2026 | Away | 21–31 | 52.6 | -10.4 | 24% | Low | |
| 8 | Oct 31, 2026 | Home | 23–31 | 53.7 | -7.7 | 30% | Medium | |
| 9 | Nov 7, 2026 | Away | 21–29 | 49.7 | -8.2 | 29% | Low | |
| 10 | Nov 13, 2026 | Home | 23–30 | 52.6 | -7.3 | 31% | Medium | |
| 11 | Nov 21, 2026 | Away | 23–30 | 52.9 | -6.4 | 34% | Medium | |
| 12 | Nov 28, 2026 | Home | 25–24 | 48.3 | +0.5 | 51% | Low |
Projection context
These projections reflect the current Rivals Rundown football inputs and are refreshed as the underlying information changes.
Model version 5. RPR, rankings, margins and probabilities are estimates, not guarantees.