MAC · Chippewas · Mount Pleasant, MI
Central Michigan
Your complete Central Michigan season outlook.
Six offensive starters, stable coaching and home dates with Miami and Western Michigan support contention, though quarterback consistency remains unresolved.
Home stadiumKelly/Shorts StadiumRPR rank#112Projected-wins rank#86
Projected wins5.81Most likely: 6 wins · 80% range 4–7
Rundown Power Rating -11.9Neutral-field strength
RPR Rank #112National power position
Schedule Strength Rank#114Opponent difficulty
Projected-Wins Rank #86Strength plus schedule
Market total6.5
Adjusted Edge -0.51
Probability over33%
Market basis12 games
Team profile
RPR and model ratings
- Rundown Power Rating
- -11.9
- National RPR Rank
- #112
- Schedule strength rank
- #114
- Average opponent power
- -9.9
- Offense rating
- 17.6
- Defense rating
- 29.5
- Projected QB
- Angel Flores / Jadyn Glasser
- QB starts
- 6
- QB confidence
- Low-Medium
- Head coach
- Matt Drinkall
- Returning starters
- 8
- Portal rank
- 11
- Roster fragility
- 52.0
Record outcomes
Win distribution
0<1%
1<1%
21.5%
35.5%
413.3%
521.7%
624.3%
719.1%
810.2%
93.5%
100.7%
11<1%
12<1%
13<1%
Game by game
2026 projected scores and probabilities
Expected scores and margins are model means, not exact-score guarantees.
Each matchup becomes a compact projection card on portrait phones.
| Game | Date | Opponent | Location | Projected score | Projected total | Projected margin | Win probability | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5, 2026 | Away | 17–32 | 49.0 | -14.8 | 16% | High | |
| 2 | Sep 12, 2026 | Colgate | Home | 29–20 | 49.2 | +8.8 | 72% | Medium |
| 3 | Sep 19, 2026 | Home | 21–22 | 43.2 | -0.6 | 48% | Low | |
| 4 | Sep 26, 2026 | Away | 5–42 | 47.2 | -36.7 | 1% | High | |
| 5 | Oct 3, 2026 | Home | 27–18 | 45.4 | +9.4 | 73% | Medium | |
| 6 | Oct 10, 2026 | Away | 20–22 | 42.3 | -1.3 | 46% | Low | |
| 7 | Oct 17, 2026 | Home | 21–24 | 45.4 | -3.2 | 41% | Low | |
| 8 | Oct 24, 2026 | Home | 18–26 | 43.9 | -7.6 | 31% | Medium | |
| 9 | Nov 4, 2026 | Away | 25–24 | 48.5 | +0.4 | 51% | Low | |
| 10 | Nov 11, 2026 | Home | 32–18 | 49.8 | +13.7 | 82% | Medium | |
| 11 | Nov 18, 2026 | Away | 21–24 | 44.7 | -2.8 | 43% | Low | |
| 12 | Nov 28, 2026 | Away | 29–18 | 47.6 | +10.7 | 76% | Medium |
Projection context
These projections reflect the current Rivals Rundown football inputs and are refreshed as the underlying information changes.
Model version 5. RPR, rankings, margins and probabilities are estimates, not guarantees.