MAC · Zips · Akron, OH
Akron
Your complete Akron season outlook.
Reese Poffenbarger, six returning offensive starters and a manageable league slate create bowl upside; the defense still has limited proven depth.
Home stadiumInfoCision Stadium–Summa FieldRPR rank#127Projected-wins rank#122
Projected wins3.72Most likely: 4 wins · 80% range 2–5
Rundown Power Rating -18.9Neutral-field strength
RPR Rank #127National power position
Schedule Strength Rank#110Opponent difficulty
Projected-Wins Rank #122Strength plus schedule
Market total4.5
Adjusted Edge -0.89
Probability over29%
Market basis12 games
Team profile
RPR and model ratings
- Rundown Power Rating
- -18.9
- National RPR Rank
- #127
- Schedule strength rank
- #110
- Average opponent power
- -9.5
- Offense rating
- 13.4
- Defense rating
- 31.8
- Projected QB
- Reese Poffenbarger
- QB starts
- 26
- QB confidence
- High
- Head coach
- Joe Moorhead
- Returning starters
- 9
- Portal rank
- 8
- Roster fragility
- 26.5
Record outcomes
Win distribution
00.7%
15.0%
214.8%
324.8%
425.8%
517.8%
68.2%
72.5%
8<1%
9<1%
10<1%
11<1%
12<1%
13<1%
Game by game
2026 projected scores and probabilities
Expected scores and margins are model means, not exact-score guarantees.
Each matchup becomes a compact projection card on portrait phones.
| Game | Date | Opponent | Location | Projected score | Projected total | Projected margin | Win probability | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 3, 2026 | Away | 9–35 | 44.2 | -25.2 | 5% | High | |
| 2 | Sep 12, 2026 | Robert Morris | Home | 25–24 | 48.1 | +1.0 | 53% | Low |
| 3 | Sep 19, 2026 | Away | 9–36 | 44.2 | -27.1 | 4% | High | |
| 4 | Sep 26, 2026 | Home | 16–37 | 52.7 | -20.6 | 8% | High | |
| 5 | Oct 3, 2026 | Away | 18–27 | 45.4 | -9.4 | 27% | Medium | |
| 6 | Oct 10, 2026 | Home | 23–25 | 47.5 | -2.2 | 44% | Low | |
| 7 | Oct 17, 2026 | Away | 12–31 | 42.9 | -19.0 | 10% | High | |
| 8 | Oct 24, 2026 | Away | 23–25 | 47.9 | -1.9 | 45% | Low | |
| 9 | Nov 3, 2026 | Home | 19–22 | 41.3 | -3.4 | 41% | Low | |
| 10 | Nov 10, 2026 | Home | 17–27 | 44.3 | -10.3 | 25% | High | |
| 11 | Nov 18, 2026 | Away | 28–19 | 47.0 | +8.9 | 72% | Medium | |
| 12 | Nov 27, 2026 | Home | 19–24 | 43.7 | -5.1 | 37% | Medium |
Projection context
These projections reflect the current Rivals Rundown football inputs and are refreshed as the underlying information changes.
Model version 5. RPR, rankings, margins and probabilities are estimates, not guarantees.