MAC · Eagles · Ypsilanti, MI
Eastern Michigan
Your complete Eastern Michigan season outlook.
Noah Kim and nine returning starters give the Eagles one of the MAC's steadier profiles, offset by a difficult opening month and defensive run-game concerns.
Home stadiumRynearson StadiumRPR rank#121Projected-wins rank#85
Projected wins5.87Most likely: 6 wins · 80% range 5–7
Rundown Power Rating -14.4Neutral-field strength
RPR Rank #121National power position
Schedule Strength Rank#133Opponent difficulty
Projected-Wins Rank #85Strength plus schedule
Market total5.5
Adjusted Edge -0.02
Probability over59%
Market basis12 games
Team profile
RPR and model ratings
- Rundown Power Rating
- -14.4
- National RPR Rank
- #121
- Schedule strength rank
- #133
- Average opponent power
- -13.6
- Offense rating
- 18.1
- Defense rating
- 32.7
- Projected QB
- Noah Kim
- QB starts
- 24
- QB confidence
- High
- Head coach
- Chris Creighton
- Returning starters
- 9
- Portal rank
- 12
- Roster fragility
- 26.5
Record outcomes
Win distribution
0<1%
1<1%
21.3%
35.1%
412.7%
521.3%
624.7%
719.6%
810.6%
93.6%
100.8%
11<1%
12<1%
13<1%
Game by game
2026 projected scores and probabilities
Expected scores and margins are model means, not exact-score guarantees.
Each matchup becomes a compact projection card on portrait phones.
| Game | Date | Opponent | Location | Projected score | Projected total | Projected margin | Win probability | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 29, 2026 | Home | 32–20 | 51.9 | +11.1 | 77% | Medium | |
| 2 | Sep 4, 2026 | Home | 27–24 | 51.5 | +3.2 | 58% | Low | |
| 3 | Sep 12, 2026 | Away | 17–34 | 51.7 | -16.8 | 13% | Medium | |
| 4 | Sep 19, 2026 | Away | 12–32 | 44.3 | -19.5 | 10% | High | |
| 5 | Sep 26, 2026 | Lindenwood | Home | 28–24 | 51.2 | +3.9 | 60% | Low |
| 6 | Oct 3, 2026 | Away | 32–18 | 50.2 | +14.2 | 83% | High | |
| 7 | Oct 10, 2026 | Away | 25–23 | 47.5 | +2.2 | 56% | Low | |
| 8 | Oct 17, 2026 | Home | 23–24 | 47.3 | -1.4 | 46% | Low | |
| 9 | Oct 24, 2026 | Away | 20–24 | 44.4 | -3.8 | 40% | Low | |
| 10 | Nov 4, 2026 | Home | 24–25 | 48.5 | -0.4 | 49% | Low | |
| 11 | Nov 17, 2026 | Away | 19–29 | 47.4 | -10.4 | 25% | High | |
| 12 | Nov 24, 2026 | Home | 29–22 | 51.0 | +7.7 | 70% | Medium |
Projection context
These projections reflect the current Rivals Rundown football inputs and are refreshed as the underlying information changes.
Model version 5. RPR, rankings, margins and probabilities are estimates, not guarantees.