MAC · Golden Flashes · Kent, OH
Kent State
Your complete Kent State season outlook.
Dru DeShields and seven returning offensive starters preserve last year's improvement, but defensive depth and a difficult nonconference schedule cap the ceiling.
Home stadiumDix StadiumRPR rank#128Projected-wins rank#124
Projected wins3.62Most likely: 4 wins · 80% range 2–5
Rundown Power Rating -19.7Neutral-field strength
RPR Rank #128National power position
Schedule Strength Rank#94Opponent difficulty
Projected-Wins Rank #124Strength plus schedule
Market total3.5
Adjusted Edge +0.16
Probability over52%
Market basis12 games
Team profile
RPR and model ratings
- Rundown Power Rating
- -19.7
- National RPR Rank
- #128
- Schedule strength rank
- #94
- Average opponent power
- -7.5
- Offense rating
- 16.1
- Defense rating
- 35.4
- Projected QB
- Dru DeShields
- QB starts
- 12
- QB confidence
- High
- Head coach
- Mark Carney
- Returning starters
- 9
- Portal rank
- 9
- Roster fragility
- 38.8
Record outcomes
Win distribution
00.8%
15.4%
215.7%
325.8%
425.9%
517.0%
67.0%
72.0%
8<1%
9<1%
10<1%
11<1%
12<1%
13<1%
Game by game
2026 projected scores and probabilities
Expected scores and margins are model means, not exact-score guarantees.
Each matchup becomes a compact projection card on portrait phones.
| Game | Date | Opponent | Location | Projected score | Projected total | Projected margin | Win probability | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5, 2026 | Away | 7–42 | 49.6 | -34.6 | 1% | High | |
| 2 | Sep 12, 2026 | Wofford | Home | 27–26 | 51.7 | +0.3 | 51% | Low |
| 3 | Sep 19, 2026 | Away | 4–46 | 50.5 | -42.0 | <1% | High | |
| 4 | Sep 26, 2026 | Home | 29–21 | 50.0 | +8.0 | 70% | Medium | |
| 5 | Oct 3, 2026 | Home | 20–25 | 44.8 | -4.2 | 39% | Medium | |
| 6 | Oct 10, 2026 | Away | 16–32 | 47.8 | -16.0 | 14% | High | |
| 7 | Oct 17, 2026 | Away | 17–38 | 55.1 | -20.8 | 8% | Medium | |
| 8 | Oct 24, 2026 | Home | 25–23 | 47.9 | +1.9 | 55% | Low | |
| 9 | Oct 30, 2026 | Away | 27–26 | 52.3 | +0.3 | 51% | Low | |
| 10 | Nov 10, 2026 | Away | 19–28 | 46.8 | -9.3 | 27% | Medium | |
| 11 | Nov 17, 2026 | Home | 15–31 | 46.4 | -15.7 | 15% | High | |
| 12 | Nov 24, 2026 | Away | 22–29 | 51.0 | -7.7 | 30% | Medium |
Projection context
These projections reflect the current Rivals Rundown football inputs and are refreshed as the underlying information changes.
Model version 5. RPR, rankings, margins and probabilities are estimates, not guarantees.