MAC · Minutemen · Amherst, MA
Massachusetts
Your complete Massachusetts season outlook.
Pop Watson and a strong transfer haul improve the talent base, but the conference's lowest power baseline and offensive-line uncertainty keep the projection modest.
Home stadiumWarren McGuirk Alumni StadiumRPR rank#137Projected-wins rank#137
Projected wins2.05Most likely: 2 wins · 80% range 1–3
Rundown Power Rating -30.3Neutral-field strength
RPR Rank #137National power position
Schedule Strength Rank#136Opponent difficulty
Projected-Wins Rank #137Strength plus schedule
Market total2.5
Adjusted Edge -0.72
Probability over34%
Market basis12 games
Team profile
RPR and model ratings
- Rundown Power Rating
- -30.3
- National RPR Rank
- #137
- Schedule strength rank
- #136
- Average opponent power
- -14.0
- Offense rating
- 10.0
- Defense rating
- 40.0
- Projected QB
- Pop Watson III
- QB starts
- 0
- QB confidence
- Low
- Head coach
- Joe Harasymiak
- Returning starters
- 6
- Portal rank
- 2
- Roster fragility
- 62.7
Record outcomes
Win distribution
010.4%
125.9%
229.9%
320.7%
49.3%
53.0%
60.7%
7<1%
8<1%
9<1%
10<1%
11<1%
12<1%
13<1%
Game by game
2026 projected scores and probabilities
Expected scores and margins are model means, not exact-score guarantees.
Each matchup becomes a compact projection card on portrait phones.
| Game | Date | Opponent | Location | Projected score | Projected total | Projected margin | Win probability | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 3, 2026 | Away | 10–45 | 54.8 | -35.0 | 1% | Medium | |
| 2 | Sep 12, 2026 | Sacred Heart | Home | 21–30 | 50.8 | -9.0 | 27% | Low |
| 3 | Sep 19, 2026 | Stonehill | Home | 21–30 | 50.8 | -9.0 | 27% | Low |
| 4 | Sep 26, 2026 | Away | 20–31 | 51.5 | -11.1 | 23% | Low | |
| 5 | Oct 3, 2026 | Home | 18–32 | 50.2 | -14.2 | 17% | High | |
| 6 | Oct 10, 2026 | Home | 10–36 | 45.5 | -25.9 | 4% | Medium | |
| 7 | Oct 17, 2026 | Away | 13–34 | 46.3 | -21.0 | 8% | Medium | |
| 8 | Oct 23, 2026 | Away | 15–37 | 51.2 | -22.2 | 7% | Low | |
| 9 | Nov 4, 2026 | Home | 23–26 | 49.2 | -3.2 | 42% | Low | |
| 10 | Nov 11, 2026 | Away | 13–34 | 46.8 | -21.7 | 7% | Low | |
| 11 | Nov 18, 2026 | Home | 19–28 | 47.0 | -8.9 | 28% | Medium | |
| 12 | Nov 28, 2026 | Away | 13–33 | 46.0 | -19.4 | 10% | Low |
Projection context
These projections reflect the current Rivals Rundown football inputs and are refreshed as the underlying information changes.
Model version 5. RPR, rankings, margins and probabilities are estimates, not guarantees.