MAC · Broncos · Kalamazoo, MI
Western Michigan
Your complete Western Michigan season outlook.
Broc Lowry, Jalen Buckley and 11 returning starters give the reigning champion the league's best continuity, with defensive regression the primary concern.
Home stadiumWaldo StadiumRPR rank#95Projected-wins rank#57
Projected wins6.96Most likely: 7 wins · 80% range 6–8
Rundown Power Rating -6.4Neutral-field strength
RPR Rank #95National power position
Schedule Strength Rank#107Opponent difficulty
Projected-Wins Rank #57Strength plus schedule
Market total7.5
Adjusted Edge -0.32
Probability over38%
Market basis12 games
Team profile
RPR and model ratings
- Rundown Power Rating
- -6.4
- National RPR Rank
- #95
- Schedule strength rank
- #107
- Average opponent power
- -9.0
- Offense rating
- 19.4
- Defense rating
- 25.6
- Projected QB
- Broc Lowry
- QB starts
- 12
- QB confidence
- High
- Head coach
- Lance Taylor
- Returning starters
- 11
- Portal rank
- 4
- Roster fragility
- 42.6
Record outcomes
Win distribution
0<1%
1<1%
2<1%
31.3%
44.6%
511.4%
620.0%
724.8%
821.2%
911.8%
103.9%
110.6%
12<1%
13<1%
Game by game
2026 projected scores and probabilities
Expected scores and margins are model means, not exact-score guarantees.
Each matchup becomes a compact projection card on portrait phones.
| Game | Date | Opponent | Location | Projected score | Projected total | Projected margin | Win probability | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5, 2026 | Away | 10–36 | 46.5 | -25.5 | 4% | High | |
| 2 | Sep 12, 2026 | Monmouth | Home | 30–18 | 48.0 | +11.9 | 79% | Medium |
| 3 | Sep 19, 2026 | Away | 26–21 | 46.5 | +4.9 | 63% | Medium | |
| 4 | Sep 26, 2026 | Home | 19–30 | 48.5 | -11.0 | 23% | High | |
| 5 | Oct 3, 2026 | Away | 23–20 | 43.6 | +2.6 | 57% | Low | |
| 6 | Oct 10, 2026 | Home | 32–16 | 47.8 | +16.0 | 86% | High | |
| 7 | Oct 17, 2026 | Away | 24–21 | 45.4 | +3.2 | 59% | Low | |
| 8 | Oct 24, 2026 | Away | 23–21 | 44.1 | +1.9 | 55% | Low | |
| 9 | Oct 31, 2026 | Home | 26–17 | 43.2 | +8.9 | 72% | Medium | |
| 10 | Nov 10, 2026 | Away | 27–17 | 44.3 | +10.3 | 75% | High | |
| 11 | Nov 17, 2026 | Home | 29–19 | 47.4 | +10.4 | 75% | High | |
| 12 | Nov 24, 2026 | Home | 20–22 | 42.8 | -1.8 | 45% | Low |
Projection context
These projections reflect the current Rivals Rundown football inputs and are refreshed as the underlying information changes.
Model version 5. RPR, rankings, margins and probabilities are estimates, not guarantees.