Conference USA · Fightin’ Blue Hens · Newark, DE
Delaware
Your complete Delaware season outlook.
Twelve returning starters and Nick Minicucci give Delaware the league's strongest continuity profile, although the schedule contains three difficult FBS road games.
Home stadiumDelaware StadiumRPR rank#113Projected-wins rank#96
Projected wins5.45Most likely: 5 wins · 80% range 4–7
Rundown Power Rating -12.2Neutral-field strength
RPR Rank #113National power position
Schedule Strength Rank#111Opponent difficulty
Projected-Wins Rank #96Strength plus schedule
Market total6.5
Adjusted Edge -0.71
Probability over25%
Market basis12 games
Team profile
RPR and model ratings
- Rundown Power Rating
- -12.2
- National RPR Rank
- #113
- Schedule strength rank
- #111
- Average opponent power
- -9.6
- Offense rating
- 23.1
- Defense rating
- 35.2
- Projected QB
- Nick Minicucci
- QB starts
- 22
- QB confidence
- High
- Head coach
- Ryan Carty
- Returning starters
- 12
- Portal rank
- 10
- Roster fragility
- 22.2
Record outcomes
Win distribution
0<1%
1<1%
22.2%
37.8%
416.7%
524.2%
623.8%
715.8%
86.8%
92.0%
10<1%
11<1%
12<1%
13<1%
Game by game
2026 projected scores and probabilities
Expected scores and margins are model means, not exact-score guarantees.
Each matchup becomes a compact projection card on portrait phones.
| Game | Date | Opponent | Location | Projected score | Projected total | Projected margin | Win probability | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 3, 2026 | Merrimack | Home | 32–24 | 55.5 | +8.1 | 71% | Medium |
| 2 | Sep 12, 2026 | Away | 17–42 | 58.3 | -24.7 | 5% | High | |
| 3 | Sep 19, 2026 | Home | 31–27 | 57.4 | +3.6 | 60% | Low | |
| 4 | Sep 26, 2026 | Away | 15–37 | 52.3 | -21.7 | 7% | High | |
| 5 | Oct 2, 2026 | Home | 27–31 | 58.7 | -4.3 | 39% | Medium | |
| 6 | Oct 13, 2026 | Away | 34–22 | 56.5 | +11.6 | 78% | High | |
| 7 | Oct 20, 2026 | Home | 32–23 | 55.3 | +8.9 | 72% | Medium | |
| 8 | Oct 27, 2026 | Away | 24–34 | 58.1 | -10.7 | 24% | High | |
| 9 | Nov 7, 2026 | Away | 24–31 | 55.2 | -6.2 | 34% | Medium | |
| 10 | Nov 14, 2026 | Home | 31–27 | 58.1 | +3.7 | 60% | Low | |
| 11 | Nov 21, 2026 | Away | 28–27 | 54.6 | +0.9 | 52% | Low | |
| 12 | Nov 28, 2026 | Home | 28–31 | 58.3 | -2.8 | 43% | Low |
Projection context
These projections reflect the current Rivals Rundown football inputs and are refreshed as the underlying information changes.
Model version 5. RPR, rankings, margins and probabilities are estimates, not guarantees.