Conference USA · Owls · Kennesaw, GA
Kennesaw State
Your complete Kennesaw State season outlook.
The defending champion retains defensive continuity and added significant portal volume; quarterback translation remains the primary risk.
Home stadiumFifth Third StadiumRPR rank#105Projected-wins rank#56
Projected wins6.99Most likely: 7 wins · 80% range 6–8
Rundown Power Rating -8.7Neutral-field strength
RPR Rank #105National power position
Schedule Strength Rank#127Opponent difficulty
Projected-Wins Rank #56Strength plus schedule
Market total6.5
Adjusted Edge +0.75
Probability over63%
Market basis12 games
Team profile
RPR and model ratings
- Rundown Power Rating
- -8.7
- National RPR Rank
- #105
- Schedule strength rank
- #127
- Average opponent power
- -12.0
- Offense rating
- 21.5
- Defense rating
- 29.9
- Projected QB
- Rickie Collins
- QB starts
- 1
- QB confidence
- Low-Medium
- Head coach
- Jerry Mack
- Returning starters
- 7
- Portal rank
- 3
- Roster fragility
- 56.1
Record outcomes
Win distribution
0<1%
1<1%
2<1%
31.3%
44.6%
511.2%
619.9%
724.6%
821.1%
912.1%
104.2%
110.7%
12<1%
13<1%
Game by game
2026 projected scores and probabilities
Expected scores and margins are model means, not exact-score guarantees.
Each matchup becomes a compact projection card on portrait phones.
| Game | Date | Opponent | Location | Projected score | Projected total | Projected margin | Win probability | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 3, 2026 | West Georgia | Home | 30–22 | 51.6 | +7.6 | 69% | Low |
| 2 | Sep 12, 2026 | Away | 36–20 | 55.4 | +15.6 | 85% | Medium | |
| 3 | Sep 19, 2026 | Away | 15–42 | 56.8 | -27.2 | 3% | Medium | |
| 4 | Sep 26, 2026 | Away | 25–29 | 54.1 | -3.6 | 41% | Low | |
| 5 | Oct 7, 2026 | Home | 28–27 | 54.4 | +1.0 | 53% | Low | |
| 6 | Oct 14, 2026 | Away | 29–22 | 51.5 | +7.3 | 69% | Low | |
| 7 | Oct 21, 2026 | Home | 27–28 | 54.7 | -0.8 | 48% | Low | |
| 8 | Oct 28, 2026 | Away | 34–19 | 52.6 | +14.5 | 83% | Medium | |
| 9 | Nov 7, 2026 | Home | 31–24 | 55.2 | +6.2 | 66% | Medium | |
| 10 | Nov 14, 2026 | Away | 34–19 | 53.0 | +14.5 | 83% | Medium | |
| 11 | Nov 21, 2026 | Home | 31–23 | 54.2 | +7.3 | 69% | Medium | |
| 12 | Nov 28, 2026 | Away | 24–30 | 54.2 | -6.3 | 34% | Medium |
Projection context
These projections reflect the current Rivals Rundown football inputs and are refreshed as the underlying information changes.
Model version 5. RPR, rankings, margins and probabilities are estimates, not guarantees.