Sun Belt · Chanticleers · Conway, SC
Coastal Carolina
Your complete Coastal Carolina season outlook.
Ryan Beard inherits more than 50 new players and only five returning starters, creating a broad range despite one of the league's largest portal classes.
Home stadiumBrooks StadiumRPR rank#119Projected-wins rank#108
Projected wins4.68Most likely: 5 wins · 80% range 3–6
Rundown Power Rating -14.0Neutral-field strength
RPR Rank #119National power position
Schedule Strength Rank#109Opponent difficulty
Projected-Wins Rank #108Strength plus schedule
Market total4.5
Adjusted Edge -0.07
Probability over53%
Market basis12 games
Team profile
RPR and model ratings
- Rundown Power Rating
- -14.0
- National RPR Rank
- #119
- Schedule strength rank
- #109
- Average opponent power
- -9.3
- Offense rating
- 21.0
- Defense rating
- 34.4
- Projected QB
- Deuce Bailey
- QB starts
- 0
- QB confidence
- Low
- Head coach
- Ryan Beard
- Returning starters
- 5
- Portal rank
- 4
- Roster fragility
- 79.8
Record outcomes
Win distribution
0<1%
12.2%
27.3%
315.4%
421.7%
522.1%
616.5%
79.3%
83.8%
91.2%
10<1%
11<1%
12<1%
13<1%
Game by game
2026 projected scores and probabilities
Expected scores and margins are model means, not exact-score guarantees.
Each matchup becomes a compact projection card on portrait phones.
| Game | Date | Opponent | Location | Projected score | Projected total | Projected margin | Win probability | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5, 2026 | Away | 19–35 | 53.6 | -16.1 | 14% | Low | |
| 2 | Sep 12, 2026 | Fordham | Home | 30–24 | 53.8 | +6.3 | 66% | Low |
| 3 | Sep 19, 2026 | Away | 27–31 | 57.4 | -3.6 | 40% | Low | |
| 4 | Sep 24, 2026 | Home | 26–31 | 57.0 | -5.7 | 35% | Medium | |
| 5 | Oct 3, 2026 | Home | 26–29 | 55.7 | -3.2 | 42% | Low | |
| 6 | Oct 10, 2026 | Away | 25–36 | 60.8 | -10.8 | 23% | Medium | |
| 7 | Oct 16, 2026 | Home | 28–27 | 55.3 | +0.6 | 51% | Low | |
| 8 | Oct 31, 2026 | Away | 33–24 | 57.6 | +8.9 | 72% | Low | |
| 9 | Nov 7, 2026 | Home | 22–28 | 50.2 | -6.4 | 34% | Medium | |
| 10 | Nov 14, 2026 | Home | 26–30 | 56.4 | -3.9 | 40% | Low | |
| 11 | Nov 21, 2026 | Away | 25–33 | 58.0 | -8.0 | 30% | Medium | |
| 12 | Nov 28, 2026 | Away | 19–34 | 53.7 | -15.3 | 15% | Low |
Projection context
These projections reflect the current Rivals Rundown football inputs and are refreshed as the underlying information changes.
Model version 5. RPR, rankings, margins and probabilities are estimates, not guarantees.