American · Owls · Boca Raton, FL
Florida Atlantic
Your complete Florida Atlantic season outlook.
Caden Veltkamp, 11 returning starters and strong returning production create the American's best continuity profile outside the service academies.
Home stadiumFlagler Credit Union StadiumRPR rank#93Projected-wins rank#74
Projected wins6.19Most likely: 6 wins · 80% range 5–7
Rundown Power Rating -6.3Neutral-field strength
RPR Rank #93National power position
Schedule Strength Rank#89Opponent difficulty
Projected-Wins Rank #74Strength plus schedule
Market total5.5
Adjusted Edge +0.34
Probability over67%
Market basis12 games
Team profile
RPR and model ratings
- Rundown Power Rating
- -6.3
- National RPR Rank
- #93
- Schedule strength rank
- #89
- Average opponent power
- -6.8
- Offense rating
- 27.6
- Defense rating
- 34.7
- Projected QB
- Caden Veltkamp
- QB starts
- 24
- QB confidence
- High
- Head coach
- Zach Kittley
- Returning starters
- 11
- Portal rank
- 6
- Roster fragility
- 23.6
Record outcomes
Win distribution
0<1%
1<1%
20.7%
33.2%
49.8%
519.1%
625.0%
722.3%
813.2%
95.2%
101.2%
11<1%
12<1%
13<1%
Game by game
2026 projected scores and probabilities
Expected scores and margins are model means, not exact-score guarantees.
Each matchup becomes a compact projection card on portrait phones.
| Game | Date | Opponent | Location | Projected score | Projected total | Projected margin | Win probability | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5, 2026 | Away | 15–40 | 54.3 | -24.7 | 5% | High | |
| 2 | Sep 12, 2026 | Home | 27–32 | 59.2 | -5.6 | 36% | Medium | |
| 3 | Sep 19, 2026 | Home | 35–25 | 60.5 | +9.6 | 74% | Medium | |
| 4 | Sep 26, 2026 | Away | 37–21 | 58.0 | +16.2 | 86% | High | |
| 5 | Oct 3, 2026 | Texas Southern | Home | 37–21 | 57.8 | +16.7 | 87% | Medium |
| 6 | Oct 17, 2026 | Away | 26–32 | 58.0 | -6.4 | 33% | Medium | |
| 7 | Oct 24, 2026 | Home | 33–23 | 56.3 | +10.6 | 76% | High | |
| 8 | Oct 29, 2026 | Away | 32–30 | 62.0 | +2.5 | 57% | Low | |
| 9 | Nov 5, 2026 | Home | 30–33 | 63.2 | -2.8 | 43% | Low | |
| 10 | Nov 14, 2026 | Away | 29–31 | 59.7 | -1.8 | 45% | Low | |
| 11 | Nov 21, 2026 | Home | 29–32 | 61.3 | -2.3 | 44% | Low | |
| 12 | Nov 27, 2026 | Away | 25–32 | 56.7 | -7.1 | 32% | Medium |
Projection context
These projections reflect the current Rivals Rundown football inputs and are refreshed as the underlying information changes.
Model version 5. RPR, rankings, margins and probabilities are estimates, not guarantees.