Sun Belt · Warhawks · Monroe, LA
UL Monroe
Your complete UL Monroe season outlook.
Aidan Armenta provides quarterback experience, but two new systems, low snapback and thin defensive-line depth keep the floor low.
Home stadiumMalone StadiumRPR rank#132Projected-wins rank#133
Projected wins2.35Most likely: 2 wins · 80% range 1–3
Rundown Power Rating -24.1Neutral-field strength
RPR Rank #132National power position
Schedule Strength Rank#113Opponent difficulty
Projected-Wins Rank #133Strength plus schedule
Market total3.5
Adjusted Edge -1.19
Probability over19%
Market basis12 games
Team profile
RPR and model ratings
- Rundown Power Rating
- -24.1
- National RPR Rank
- #132
- Schedule strength rank
- #113
- Average opponent power
- -9.8
- Offense rating
- 14.5
- Defense rating
- 37.9
- Projected QB
- Aidan Armenta
- QB starts
- 10
- QB confidence
- Medium
- Head coach
- Bryant Vincent
- Returning starters
- 5
- Portal rank
- 7
- Roster fragility
- 59.0
Record outcomes
Win distribution
07.0%
121.5%
229.1%
323.3%
412.6%
54.9%
61.3%
7<1%
8<1%
9<1%
10<1%
11<1%
12<1%
13<1%
Game by game
2026 projected scores and probabilities
Expected scores and margins are model means, not exact-score guarantees.
Each matchup becomes a compact projection card on portrait phones.
| Game | Date | Opponent | Location | Projected score | Projected total | Projected margin | Win probability | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5, 2026 | Away | 12–43 | 54.9 | -30.8 | 2% | Medium | |
| 2 | Sep 12, 2026 | Away | 23–33 | 55.7 | -9.3 | 27% | Low | |
| 3 | Sep 19, 2026 | Southeastern Louisiana | Home | 22–30 | 52.1 | -8.3 | 29% | Low |
| 4 | Sep 26, 2026 | Home | 21–37 | 58.0 | -16.2 | 14% | High | |
| 5 | Oct 3, 2026 | Away | 21–35 | 55.7 | -13.7 | 18% | Medium | |
| 6 | Oct 17, 2026 | Home | 20–33 | 52.7 | -13.4 | 19% | Medium | |
| 7 | Oct 24, 2026 | Away | 16–37 | 53.1 | -20.9 | 8% | Medium | |
| 8 | Oct 31, 2026 | Home | 28–26 | 54.2 | +1.6 | 54% | Low | |
| 9 | Nov 7, 2026 | Away | 18–37 | 54.7 | -18.9 | 10% | Medium | |
| 10 | Nov 12, 2026 | Home | 21–35 | 56.3 | -13.6 | 18% | Medium | |
| 11 | Nov 21, 2026 | Away | 20–34 | 53.6 | -14.2 | 17% | Low | |
| 12 | Nov 28, 2026 | Home | 21–38 | 59.1 | -16.8 | 13% | Medium |
Projection context
These projections reflect the current Rivals Rundown football inputs and are refreshed as the underlying information changes.
Model version 5. RPR, rankings, margins and probabilities are estimates, not guarantees.