American · Bulls · Tampa, FL
South Florida
Your complete South Florida season outlook.
Brian Hartline and the league's top-rated transfer class add talent, but only three starters return and the quarterback competition keeps volatility high.
Home stadiumRaymond James StadiumRPR rank#79Projected-wins rank#25
Projected wins8.00Most likely: 8 wins · 80% range 7–9
Rundown Power Rating -2.1Neutral-field strength
RPR Rank #79National power position
Schedule Strength Rank#112Opponent difficulty
Projected-Wins Rank #25Strength plus schedule
Market total8.5
Adjusted Edge -0.28
Probability over39%
Market basis12 games
Team profile
RPR and model ratings
- Rundown Power Rating
- -2.1
- National RPR Rank
- #79
- Schedule strength rank
- #112
- Average opponent power
- -9.7
- Offense rating
- 27.9
- Defense rating
- 30.0
- Projected QB
- Michael Van Buren Jr. / Luke Kromenhoek
- QB starts
- 12
- QB confidence
- Low-Medium
- Head coach
- Brian Hartline
- Returning starters
- 3
- Portal rank
- 1
- Roster fragility
- 73.1
Record outcomes
Win distribution
0<1%
1<1%
2<1%
3<1%
41.3%
54.6%
611.2%
719.6%
824.2%
921.3%
1012.4%
114.4%
120.7%
13<1%
Game by game
2026 projected scores and probabilities
Expected scores and margins are model means, not exact-score guarantees.
Each matchup becomes a compact projection card on portrait phones.
| Game | Date | Opponent | Location | Projected score | Projected total | Projected margin | Win probability | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5, 2026 | Home | 36–22 | 57.9 | +13.8 | 82% | Low | |
| 2 | Sep 12, 2026 | Away | 26–29 | 55.4 | -2.5 | 44% | Low | |
| 3 | Sep 19, 2026 | Delaware State | Home | 40–15 | 55.3 | +25.6 | 96% | Low |
| 4 | Sep 26, 2026 | Away | 29–21 | 50.4 | +8.1 | 71% | Low | |
| 5 | Oct 3, 2026 | Home | 34–25 | 59.4 | +9.0 | 73% | Low | |
| 6 | Oct 8, 2026 | Away | 29–32 | 60.6 | -3.1 | 42% | Low | |
| 7 | Oct 17, 2026 | Home | 38–17 | 55.1 | +20.8 | 92% | Medium | |
| 8 | Oct 31, 2026 | Home | 39–20 | 58.9 | +18.2 | 89% | Low | |
| 9 | Nov 6, 2026 | Away | 26–29 | 54.2 | -2.9 | 42% | Low | |
| 10 | Nov 12, 2026 | Home | 30–29 | 59.0 | +1.1 | 53% | Low | |
| 11 | Nov 21, 2026 | Away | 32–29 | 61.3 | +2.3 | 56% | Low | |
| 12 | Nov 27, 2026 | Home | 30–25 | 54.6 | +4.9 | 63% | Low |
Projection context
These projections reflect the current Rivals Rundown football inputs and are refreshed as the underlying information changes.
Model version 5. RPR, rankings, margins and probabilities are estimates, not guarantees.