American · Black Knights · West Point, NY
Army
Your complete Army season outlook.
Cale Hellums and eight returning offensive starters preserve the option system's floor, but limited snapback and no experienced backup keep injury sensitivity elevated.
Home stadiumMichie StadiumRPR rank#82Projected-wins rank#51
Projected wins7.14Most likely: 7 wins · 80% range 6–9
Rundown Power Rating -2.5Neutral-field strength
RPR Rank #82National power position
Schedule Strength Rank#80Opponent difficulty
Projected-Wins Rank #51Strength plus schedule
Market total7.5
Adjusted Edge -0.65
Probability over42%
Market basis12 games
Team profile
RPR and model ratings
- Rundown Power Rating
- -2.5
- National RPR Rank
- #82
- Schedule strength rank
- #80
- Average opponent power
- -6.1
- Offense rating
- 24.7
- Defense rating
- 27.5
- Projected QB
- Cale Hellums
- QB starts
- 10
- QB confidence
- High
- Head coach
- Jeff Monken
- Returning starters
- 11
- Portal rank
- 13
- Roster fragility
- 38.2
Record outcomes
Win distribution
0<1%
1<1%
2<1%
31.4%
44.5%
510.7%
618.1%
722.8%
820.8%
913.5%
106.1%
111.7%
12<1%
13<1%
Game by game
2026 projected scores and probabilities
Expected scores and margins are model means, not exact-score guarantees.
Each matchup becomes a compact projection card on portrait phones.
| Game | Date | Opponent | Location | Projected score | Projected total | Projected margin | Win probability | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5, 2026 | Bryant | Home | 35–17 | 52.0 | +17.8 | 88% | Medium |
| 2 | Sep 12, 2026 | Home | 29–26 | 55.4 | +2.5 | 56% | Low | |
| 3 | Sep 25, 2026 | Away | 30–26 | 56.1 | +4.2 | 61% | Medium | |
| 4 | Oct 3, 2026 | Away | 28–25 | 52.6 | +2.8 | 57% | Low | |
| 5 | Oct 10, 2026 | Home | 28–23 | 51.4 | +4.6 | 62% | Medium | |
| 6 | Oct 17, 2026 | Home | 32–26 | 58.0 | +6.4 | 67% | Medium | |
| 7 | Oct 23, 2026 | Away | 28–26 | 53.9 | +2.0 | 55% | Low | |
| 8 | Oct 31, 2026 | Away | 26–30 | 55.7 | -3.9 | 40% | Low | |
| 9 | Nov 7, 2026 | Home | 28–25 | 52.7 | +2.4 | 56% | Low | |
| 10 | Nov 21, 2026 | Home | 27–24 | 51.0 | +2.4 | 56% | Low | |
| 11 | Nov 28, 2026 | Away | 30–21 | 50.5 | +8.8 | 72% | Medium | |
| 12 | Dec 12, 2026 | Neutral | 25–28 | 53.4 | -3.4 | 41% | Low |
Projection context
These projections reflect the current Rivals Rundown football inputs and are refreshed as the underlying information changes.
Model version 5. RPR, rankings, margins and probabilities are estimates, not guarantees.