American · Owls · Houston, TX
Rice
Your complete Rice season outlook.
Jacurri Brown is a strong fit for Scott Abell's option offense, although limited returning production and a difficult nonconference slate constrain the win ceiling.
Home stadiumRice StadiumRPR rank#120Projected-wins rank#125
Projected wins3.55Most likely: 3 wins · 80% range 2–5
Rundown Power Rating -14.3Neutral-field strength
RPR Rank #120National power position
Schedule Strength Rank#75Opponent difficulty
Projected-Wins Rank #125Strength plus schedule
Market total3.5
Adjusted Edge +0.01
Probability over50%
Market basis12 games
Team profile
RPR and model ratings
- Rundown Power Rating
- -14.3
- National RPR Rank
- #120
- Schedule strength rank
- #75
- Average opponent power
- -3.9
- Offense rating
- 17.2
- Defense rating
- 32.1
- Projected QB
- Jacurri Brown
- QB starts
- 5
- QB confidence
- High
- Head coach
- Scott Abell
- Returning starters
- 5
- Portal rank
- 12
- Roster fragility
- 59.0
Record outcomes
Win distribution
01.4%
17.4%
217.4%
324.3%
423.1%
515.5%
67.5%
72.7%
80.6%
9<1%
10<1%
11<1%
12<1%
13<1%
Game by game
2026 projected scores and probabilities
Expected scores and margins are model means, not exact-score guarantees.
Each matchup becomes a compact projection card on portrait phones.
| Game | Date | Opponent | Location | Projected score | Projected total | Projected margin | Win probability | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5, 2026 | Houston Christian | Home | 29–21 | 50.4 | +7.4 | 69% | Low |
| 2 | Sep 12, 2026 | Away | 5–47 | 52.1 | -42.0 | <1% | High | |
| 3 | Sep 19, 2026 | Home | 21–26 | 46.5 | -4.9 | 37% | Medium | |
| 4 | Sep 26, 2026 | Away | 16–30 | 45.4 | -13.8 | 18% | Medium | |
| 5 | Oct 3, 2026 | Home | 22–33 | 55.6 | -10.7 | 24% | High | |
| 6 | Oct 10, 2026 | Away | 17–32 | 49.3 | -14.6 | 17% | Medium | |
| 7 | Oct 17, 2026 | Home | 24–28 | 52.2 | -4.8 | 38% | Medium | |
| 8 | Oct 24, 2026 | Away | 23–33 | 56.3 | -10.6 | 24% | High | |
| 9 | Nov 7, 2026 | Away | 24–30 | 54.5 | -6.0 | 35% | Low | |
| 10 | Nov 14, 2026 | Home | 22–28 | 49.7 | -6.7 | 33% | Medium | |
| 11 | Nov 19, 2026 | Away | 23–32 | 54.5 | -8.6 | 28% | Medium | |
| 12 | Nov 28, 2026 | Home | 21–30 | 50.5 | -8.8 | 28% | Medium |
Projection context
These projections reflect the current Rivals Rundown football inputs and are refreshed as the underlying information changes.
Model version 5. RPR, rankings, margins and probabilities are estimates, not guarantees.