Big 12 · Jayhawks · Lawrence, KS
Kansas
Your complete Kansas season outlook.
Lance Leipold remains a positive, but quarterback uncertainty and a road-heavy league schedule materially lower the floor.
Home stadiumDavid Booth Kansas Memorial StadiumRPR rank#59Projected-wins rank#93
Projected wins5.56Most likely: 5 wins · 80% range 4–7
Rundown Power Rating +3.0Neutral-field strength
RPR Rank #59National power position
Schedule Strength Rank#61Opponent difficulty
Projected-Wins Rank #93Strength plus schedule
Market total5.5
Adjusted Edge -0.26
Probability over50%
Market basis12 games
Team profile
RPR and model ratings
- Rundown Power Rating
- +3.0
- National RPR Rank
- #59
- Schedule strength rank
- #61
- Average opponent power
- +2.5
- Offense rating
- 28.3
- Defense rating
- 25.9
- Projected QB
- QB competition
- QB starts
- 1
- QB confidence
- Low-Medium
- Head coach
- Lance Leipold
- Returning starters
- 6
- Portal rank
- 13
- Roster fragility
- 58.8
Record outcomes
Win distribution
0<1%
1<1%
21.4%
37.0%
416.8%
524.5%
623.6%
716.0%
87.5%
92.5%
100.5%
11<1%
12<1%
13<1%
Game by game
2026 projected scores and probabilities
Expected scores and margins are model means, not exact-score guarantees.
Each matchup becomes a compact projection card on portrait phones.
| Game | Date | Opponent | Location | Projected score | Projected total | Projected margin | Win probability | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 4, 2026 | LIU | Home | 43–10 | 53.2 | +33.5 | 99% | Low |
| 2 | Sep 11, 2026 | Home | 21–31 | 52.0 | -9.1 | 27% | Medium | |
| 3 | Sep 19, 2026 | Neutral | 24–27 | 51.7 | -2.8 | 43% | Low | |
| 4 | Oct 3, 2026 | Home | 43–12 | 54.2 | +31.2 | 98% | Medium | |
| 5 | Oct 10, 2026 | Away | 21–33 | 54.6 | -11.8 | 22% | Medium | |
| 6 | Oct 17, 2026 | Away | 23–33 | 55.7 | -10.1 | 25% | Medium | |
| 7 | Oct 24, 2026 | Home | 30–29 | 58.0 | +1.0 | 53% | Low | |
| 8 | Oct 31, 2026 | Away | 22–32 | 54.0 | -9.1 | 27% | Medium | |
| 9 | Nov 7, 2026 | Home | 27–24 | 50.3 | +3.2 | 58% | Low | |
| 10 | Nov 14, 2026 | Away | 27–26 | 53.0 | +0.6 | 52% | Low | |
| 11 | Nov 21, 2026 | Home | 21–32 | 53.0 | -11.4 | 22% | High | |
| 12 | Nov 28, 2026 | Away | 23–31 | 54.5 | -7.7 | 30% | Low |
Projection context
These projections reflect the current Rivals Rundown football inputs and are refreshed as the underlying information changes.
Model version 5. RPR, rankings, margins and probabilities are estimates, not guarantees.