Big Ten · Cornhuskers · Lincoln, NE
Nebraska
Your complete Nebraska season outlook.
Twelve returning starters plus Anthony Colandrea's experience improve the floor; the defensive coordinator change tempers the gain.
Home stadiumMemorial StadiumRPR rank#37Projected-wins rank#75
Projected wins6.16Most likely: 6 wins · 80% range 5–7
Rundown Power Rating +8.5Neutral-field strength
RPR Rank #37National power position
Schedule Strength Rank#22Opponent difficulty
Projected-Wins Rank #75Strength plus schedule
Market total6.5
Adjusted Edge -0.15
Probability over40%
Market basis12 games
Team profile
RPR and model ratings
- Rundown Power Rating
- +8.5
- National RPR Rank
- #37
- Schedule strength rank
- #22
- Average opponent power
- +8.1
- Offense rating
- 29.6
- Defense rating
- 21.2
- Projected QB
- Anthony Colandrea
- QB starts
- 36
- QB confidence
- Medium-High
- Head coach
- Matt Rhule
- Returning starters
- 12
- Portal rank
- 8
- Roster fragility
- 13.1
Record outcomes
Win distribution
0<1%
1<1%
2<1%
32.1%
48.7%
520.5%
628.4%
723.9%
812.1%
93.5%
100.5%
11<1%
12<1%
13<1%
Game by game
2026 projected scores and probabilities
Expected scores and margins are model means, not exact-score guarantees.
Each matchup becomes a compact projection card on portrait phones.
| Game | Date | Opponent | Location | Projected score | Projected total | Projected margin | Win probability | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5, 2026 | Home | 34–10 | 44.4 | +23.7 | 94% | High | |
| 2 | Sep 12, 2026 | Home | 35–11 | 46.4 | +23.6 | 94% | High | |
| 3 | Sep 19, 2026 | North Dakota | Home | 34–17 | 51.3 | +17.4 | 88% | High |
| 4 | Sep 26, 2026 | Away | 29–23 | 51.7 | +6.5 | 67% | Medium | |
| 5 | Oct 3, 2026 | Home | 28–21 | 49.5 | +6.9 | 68% | Medium | |
| 6 | Oct 10, 2026 | Home | 18–33 | 50.9 | -14.7 | 16% | High | |
| 7 | Oct 17, 2026 | Away | 14–38 | 52.2 | -23.5 | 6% | High | |
| 8 | Oct 31, 2026 | Home | 23–27 | 50.3 | -3.8 | 40% | Low | |
| 9 | Nov 6, 2026 | Away | 25–28 | 52.7 | -3.4 | 41% | Low | |
| 10 | Nov 14, 2026 | Away | 30–26 | 55.3 | +4.1 | 61% | Medium | |
| 11 | Nov 21, 2026 | Home | 14–36 | 50.1 | -21.7 | 7% | High | |
| 12 | Nov 27, 2026 | Away | 21–28 | 48.6 | -6.7 | 33% | Medium |
Projection context
These projections reflect the current Rivals Rundown football inputs and are refreshed as the underlying information changes.
Model version 5. RPR, rankings, margins and probabilities are estimates, not guarantees.