Big Ten · Scarlet Knights · Piscataway, NJ
Rutgers
Your complete Rutgers season outlook.
The schedule and development program provide a floor, but low-rated portal additions and an unsettled quarterback competition cap the upside.
Home stadiumSHI StadiumRPR rank#62Projected-wins rank#100
Projected wins5.25Most likely: 5 wins · 80% range 4–6
Rundown Power Rating +1.5Neutral-field strength
RPR Rank #62National power position
Schedule Strength Rank#57Opponent difficulty
Projected-Wins Rank #100Strength plus schedule
Market total4.5
Adjusted Edge +0.46
Probability over69%
Market basis12 games
Team profile
RPR and model ratings
- Rundown Power Rating
- +1.5
- National RPR Rank
- #62
- Schedule strength rank
- #57
- Average opponent power
- +3.3
- Offense rating
- 30.2
- Defense rating
- 28.7
- Projected QB
- Dylan Lonergan
- QB starts
- 10
- QB confidence
- Low-Medium
- Head coach
- Greg Schiano
- Returning starters
- 8
- Portal rank
- 18
- Roster fragility
- 37.5
Record outcomes
Win distribution
0<1%
1<1%
21.8%
38.7%
420.3%
527.1%
623.3%
712.9%
84.7%
91.1%
10<1%
11<1%
12<1%
13<1%
Game by game
2026 projected scores and probabilities
Expected scores and margins are model means, not exact-score guarantees.
Each matchup becomes a compact projection card on portrait phones.
| Game | Date | Opponent | Location | Projected score | Projected total | Projected margin | Win probability | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 3, 2026 | Home | 45–10 | 54.8 | +35.0 | 99% | Medium | |
| 2 | Sep 11, 2026 | Away | 29–28 | 56.4 | +0.9 | 52% | Low | |
| 3 | Sep 19, 2026 | Home | 22–37 | 59.6 | -14.8 | 16% | High | |
| 4 | Sep 25, 2026 | Howard | Home | 42–14 | 55.9 | +27.8 | 97% | Medium |
| 5 | Oct 3, 2026 | Home | 16–39 | 55.5 | -22.9 | 6% | High | |
| 6 | Oct 17, 2026 | Away | 25–29 | 54.1 | -4.1 | 39% | Medium | |
| 7 | Oct 24, 2026 | Away | 23–28 | 51.9 | -5.1 | 37% | Medium | |
| 8 | Oct 31, 2026 | Home | 21–34 | 54.3 | -13.2 | 19% | High | |
| 9 | Nov 7, 2026 | Away | 23–25 | 48.8 | -1.9 | 45% | Low | |
| 10 | Nov 14, 2026 | Home | 26–30 | 55.3 | -4.1 | 39% | Medium | |
| 11 | Nov 21, 2026 | Away | 19–37 | 56.2 | -17.6 | 12% | High | |
| 12 | Nov 28, 2026 | Home | 31–26 | 56.3 | +4.7 | 62% | Medium |
Projection context
These projections reflect the current Rivals Rundown football inputs and are refreshed as the underlying information changes.
Model version 5. RPR, rankings, margins and probabilities are estimates, not guarantees.