Big Ten · Bruins · Los Angeles, CA
UCLA
Your complete UCLA season outlook.
A large positive portal class and Bob Chesney create real upside, but extensive turnover makes immediate integration highly uncertain.
Home stadiumRose BowlRPR rank#46Projected-wins rank#76
Projected wins6.14Most likely: 6 wins · 80% range 5–7
Rundown Power Rating +5.7Neutral-field strength
RPR Rank #46National power position
Schedule Strength Rank#34Opponent difficulty
Projected-Wins Rank #76Strength plus schedule
Market total6.5
Adjusted Edge -0.18
Probability over41%
Market basis12 games
Team profile
RPR and model ratings
- Rundown Power Rating
- +5.7
- National RPR Rank
- #46
- Schedule strength rank
- #34
- Average opponent power
- +6.0
- Offense rating
- 29.3
- Defense rating
- 23.7
- Projected QB
- Nico Iamaleava
- QB starts
- 25
- QB confidence
- Low-Medium
- Head coach
- Bob Chesney
- Returning starters
- 6
- Portal rank
- 6
- Roster fragility
- 55.9
Record outcomes
Win distribution
0<1%
1<1%
20.8%
33.6%
410.1%
519.2%
624.9%
721.9%
813.1%
95.0%
101.1%
11<1%
12<1%
13<1%
Game by game
2026 projected scores and probabilities
Expected scores and margins are model means, not exact-score guarantees.
Each matchup becomes a compact projection card on portrait phones.
| Game | Date | Opponent | Location | Projected score | Projected total | Projected margin | Win probability | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5, 2026 | Away | 27–28 | 54.0 | -0.4 | 49% | Low | |
| 2 | Sep 12, 2026 | Home | 30–21 | 50.2 | +9.0 | 73% | Medium | |
| 3 | Sep 19, 2026 | Home | 32–20 | 52.0 | +11.8 | 78% | Medium | |
| 4 | Sep 26, 2026 | Away | 25–26 | 50.8 | -1.0 | 47% | Low | |
| 5 | Oct 10, 2026 | Away | 13–40 | 53.5 | -26.8 | 4% | High | |
| 6 | Oct 17, 2026 | Home | 26–20 | 45.6 | +6.6 | 67% | Medium | |
| 7 | Oct 24, 2026 | Home | 31–22 | 53.0 | +8.8 | 72% | Low | |
| 8 | Oct 31, 2026 | Home | 35–15 | 50.0 | +19.8 | 91% | Medium | |
| 9 | Nov 7, 2026 | Away | 23–25 | 48.6 | -2.3 | 44% | Low | |
| 10 | Nov 13, 2026 | Home | 26–28 | 54.0 | -1.4 | 46% | Low | |
| 11 | Nov 21, 2026 | Away | 19–32 | 51.0 | -13.8 | 18% | Medium | |
| 12 | Nov 28, 2026 | Home | 23–33 | 56.3 | -10.4 | 24% | High |
Projection context
These projections reflect the current Rivals Rundown football inputs and are refreshed as the underlying information changes.
Model version 5. RPR, rankings, margins and probabilities are estimates, not guarantees.