Mountain West · Cowboys · Laramie, WY
Wyoming
Your complete Wyoming season outlook.
Tyler Hughes and five returning offensive starters should improve the scoring floor, while line-of-scrimmage uncertainty limits the upside.
Home stadiumWar Memorial StadiumRPR rank#106Projected-wins rank#80
Projected wins5.99Most likely: 6 wins · 80% range 5–7
Rundown Power Rating -9.0Neutral-field strength
RPR Rank #106National power position
Schedule Strength Rank#106Opponent difficulty
Projected-Wins Rank #80Strength plus schedule
Market total5.5
Adjusted Edge +0.45
Probability over62%
Market basis12 games
Team profile
RPR and model ratings
- Rundown Power Rating
- -9.0
- National RPR Rank
- #106
- Schedule strength rank
- #106
- Average opponent power
- -9.0
- Offense rating
- 16.3
- Defense rating
- 24.8
- Projected QB
- Tyler Hughes
- QB starts
- 22
- QB confidence
- High
- Head coach
- Jay Sawvel
- Returning starters
- 7
- Portal rank
- 8
- Roster fragility
- 37.6
Record outcomes
Win distribution
0<1%
1<1%
21.3%
34.8%
412.1%
519.8%
623.7%
719.8%
811.8%
94.8%
101.3%
11<1%
12<1%
13<1%
Game by game
2026 projected scores and probabilities
Expected scores and margins are model means, not exact-score guarantees.
Each matchup becomes a compact projection card on portrait phones.
| Game | Date | Opponent | Location | Projected score | Projected total | Projected margin | Win probability | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5, 2026 | Away | 19–23 | 42.3 | -3.4 | 41% | Low | |
| 2 | Sep 12, 2026 | Northern Colorado | Home | 29–17 | 45.9 | +12.6 | 80% | Medium |
| 3 | Sep 19, 2026 | Away | 22–21 | 43.2 | +0.6 | 52% | Low | |
| 4 | Sep 26, 2026 | Home | 23–25 | 47.9 | -2.9 | 42% | Low | |
| 5 | Oct 3, 2026 | Away | 17–28 | 44.9 | -10.7 | 24% | High | |
| 6 | Oct 9, 2026 | Away | 25–22 | 46.2 | +3.0 | 58% | Low | |
| 7 | Oct 17, 2026 | Home | 27–15 | 42.3 | +11.4 | 78% | Medium | |
| 8 | Oct 23, 2026 | Home | 21–25 | 46.5 | -4.2 | 39% | Medium | |
| 9 | Nov 7, 2026 | Away | 18–32 | 50.4 | -13.9 | 18% | High | |
| 10 | Nov 14, 2026 | Away | 26–18 | 44.5 | +7.8 | 70% | Medium | |
| 11 | Nov 20, 2026 | Home | 20–26 | 45.7 | -6.2 | 34% | Medium | |
| 12 | Nov 28, 2026 | Home | 25–21 | 46.3 | +3.9 | 60% | Low |
Projection context
These projections reflect the current Rivals Rundown football inputs and are refreshed as the underlying information changes.
Model version 5. RPR, rankings, margins and probabilities are estimates, not guarantees.