Sun Belt · Eagles · Statesboro, GA
Georgia Southern
Your complete Georgia Southern season outlook.
Max Johnson and defensive continuity help, but a rebuilt offensive line and only one returning offensive starter cap the median.
Home stadiumAllen E. Paulson StadiumRPR rank#104Projected-wins rank#92
Projected wins5.63Most likely: 6 wins · 80% range 4–7
Rundown Power Rating -8.5Neutral-field strength
RPR Rank #104National power position
Schedule Strength Rank#88Opponent difficulty
Projected-Wins Rank #92Strength plus schedule
Market total4.5
Adjusted Edge +0.84
Probability over76%
Market basis12 games
Team profile
RPR and model ratings
- Rundown Power Rating
- -8.5
- National RPR Rank
- #104
- Schedule strength rank
- #88
- Average opponent power
- -6.8
- Offense rating
- 23.3
- Defense rating
- 31.9
- Projected QB
- Max Johnson
- QB starts
- 22
- QB confidence
- High
- Head coach
- Clay Helton
- Returning starters
- 5
- Portal rank
- 6
- Roster fragility
- 34.2
Record outcomes
Win distribution
0<1%
1<1%
21.9%
36.6%
415.2%
523.0%
623.9%
717.4%
88.5%
92.7%
100.5%
11<1%
12<1%
13<1%
Game by game
2026 projected scores and probabilities
Expected scores and margins are model means, not exact-score guarantees.
Each matchup becomes a compact projection card on portrait phones.
| Game | Date | Opponent | Location | Projected score | Projected total | Projected margin | Win probability | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5, 2026 | Charleston Southern | Home | 34–20 | 53.8 | +13.9 | 82% | Medium |
| 2 | Sep 12, 2026 | Away | 13–37 | 50.5 | -24.0 | 5% | High | |
| 3 | Sep 19, 2026 | Away | 27–30 | 56.6 | -3.5 | 41% | Low | |
| 4 | Sep 26, 2026 | Home | 20–36 | 55.2 | -16.1 | 14% | High | |
| 5 | Oct 3, 2026 | Away | 29–26 | 55.7 | +3.2 | 58% | Low | |
| 6 | Oct 10, 2026 | Home | 25–29 | 53.7 | -4.6 | 38% | Medium | |
| 7 | Oct 15, 2026 | Away | 22–28 | 50.1 | -5.8 | 35% | Medium | |
| 8 | Oct 31, 2026 | Home | 31–25 | 55.3 | +6.1 | 66% | Medium | |
| 9 | Nov 7, 2026 | Home | 30–31 | 60.8 | -0.1 | 50% | Low | |
| 10 | Nov 14, 2026 | Away | 36–22 | 57.6 | +14.1 | 83% | Medium | |
| 11 | Nov 21, 2026 | Away | 24–30 | 54.7 | -5.8 | 35% | Medium | |
| 12 | Nov 28, 2026 | Home | 28–26 | 54.3 | +1.6 | 54% | Low |
Projection context
These projections reflect the current Rivals Rundown football inputs and are refreshed as the underlying information changes.
Model version 5. RPR, rankings, margins and probabilities are estimates, not guarantees.