Sun Belt · Thundering Herd · Huntington, WV
Marshall
Your complete Marshall season outlook.
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson, six returning offensive starters and Tony Gibson raise the offensive floor; defense and special teams remain the swing areas.
Home stadiumJoan C. Edwards StadiumRPR rank#92Projected-wins rank#32
Projected wins7.82Most likely: 8 wins · 80% range 7–9
Rundown Power Rating -5.7Neutral-field strength
RPR Rank #92National power position
Schedule Strength Rank#129Opponent difficulty
Projected-Wins Rank #32Strength plus schedule
Market total7.5
Adjusted Edge +0.44
Probability over60%
Market basis12 games
Team profile
RPR and model ratings
- Rundown Power Rating
- -5.7
- National RPR Rank
- #92
- Schedule strength rank
- #129
- Average opponent power
- -12.3
- Offense rating
- 29.0
- Defense rating
- 35.1
- Projected QB
- Carlos Del Rio-Wilson
- QB starts
- 12
- QB confidence
- High
- Head coach
- Tony Gibson
- Returning starters
- 9
- Portal rank
- 9
- Roster fragility
- 41.8
Record outcomes
Win distribution
0<1%
1<1%
2<1%
3<1%
41.1%
54.1%
611.9%
722.6%
827.6%
921.3%
109.3%
111.8%
12<1%
13<1%
Game by game
2026 projected scores and probabilities
Expected scores and margins are model means, not exact-score guarantees.
Each matchup becomes a compact projection card on portrait phones.
| Game | Date | Opponent | Location | Projected score | Projected total | Projected margin | Win probability | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5, 2026 | Away | 17–42 | 59.2 | -25.1 | 5% | Medium | |
| 2 | Sep 12, 2026 | Home | 41–18 | 59.9 | +23.0 | 94% | Medium | |
| 3 | Sep 19, 2026 | Away | 35–24 | 58.7 | +10.9 | 77% | Medium | |
| 4 | Sep 26, 2026 | Gardner-Webb | Home | 36–23 | 58.8 | +13.2 | 81% | Medium |
| 5 | Oct 3, 2026 | Away | 26–33 | 58.7 | -7.3 | 31% | Medium | |
| 6 | Oct 10, 2026 | Home | 36–25 | 60.8 | +10.8 | 77% | Medium | |
| 7 | Oct 20, 2026 | Home | 36–26 | 62.5 | +10.0 | 75% | High | |
| 8 | Oct 31, 2026 | Away | 26–29 | 55.1 | -3.5 | 41% | Low | |
| 9 | Nov 7, 2026 | Away | 31–30 | 60.8 | +0.1 | 50% | Low | |
| 10 | Nov 14, 2026 | Home | 35–26 | 60.4 | +9.1 | 73% | Medium | |
| 11 | Nov 21, 2026 | Home | 43–20 | 62.7 | +22.5 | 93% | Medium | |
| 12 | Nov 28, 2026 | Away | 38–21 | 59.1 | +16.8 | 87% | Medium |
Projection context
These projections reflect the current Rivals Rundown football inputs and are refreshed as the underlying information changes.
Model version 5. RPR, rankings, margins and probabilities are estimates, not guarantees.