Sun Belt · Ragin’ Cajuns · Lafayette, LA
Louisiana
Your complete Louisiana season outlook.
Eight returning offensive starters and a favorable league schedule create upside, but a first-year quarterback and thin portal class keep uncertainty elevated.
Home stadiumOur Lady of Lourdes StadiumRPR rank#103Projected-wins rank#35
Projected wins7.71Most likely: 8 wins · 80% range 6–9
Rundown Power Rating -8.5Neutral-field strength
RPR Rank #103National power position
Schedule Strength Rank#135Opponent difficulty
Projected-Wins Rank #35Strength plus schedule
Market total7.5
Adjusted Edge +0.34
Probability over57%
Market basis12 games
Team profile
RPR and model ratings
- Rundown Power Rating
- -8.5
- National RPR Rank
- #103
- Schedule strength rank
- #135
- Average opponent power
- -13.9
- Offense rating
- 25.5
- Defense rating
- 33.8
- Projected QB
- Lunch Winfield
- QB starts
- 0
- QB confidence
- Low
- Head coach
- Michael Desormeaux
- Returning starters
- 10
- Portal rank
- 14
- Roster fragility
- 49.3
Record outcomes
Win distribution
0<1%
1<1%
2<1%
3<1%
41.6%
55.5%
613.1%
722.3%
826.0%
919.9%
109.2%
111.9%
12<1%
13<1%
Game by game
2026 projected scores and probabilities
Expected scores and margins are model means, not exact-score guarantees.
Each matchup becomes a compact projection card on portrait phones.
| Game | Date | Opponent | Location | Projected score | Projected total | Projected margin | Win probability | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5, 2026 | Lamar | Home | 33–24 | 56.1 | +9.1 | 73% | Medium |
| 2 | Sep 12, 2026 | Away | 15–45 | 59.8 | -29.6 | 2% | High | |
| 3 | Sep 19, 2026 | Home | 36–24 | 59.8 | +11.4 | 78% | Medium | |
| 4 | Sep 26, 2026 | Away | 39–18 | 56.5 | +21.4 | 92% | Medium | |
| 5 | Oct 3, 2026 | Home | 30–29 | 58.7 | +1.6 | 54% | Low | |
| 6 | Oct 10, 2026 | Away | 27–30 | 56.7 | -3.2 | 42% | Low | |
| 7 | Oct 17, 2026 | Home | 28–29 | 57.0 | -1.3 | 47% | Low | |
| 8 | Oct 24, 2026 | Away | 36–22 | 58.2 | +13.3 | 81% | Low | |
| 9 | Nov 7, 2026 | Home | 33–26 | 59.7 | +7.2 | 68% | Medium | |
| 10 | Nov 12, 2026 | Away | 35–21 | 56.3 | +13.6 | 82% | Medium | |
| 11 | Nov 21, 2026 | Home | 33–25 | 58.0 | +8.0 | 70% | Medium | |
| 12 | Nov 28, 2026 | Away | 37–23 | 59.9 | +14.5 | 83% | Medium |
Projection context
These projections reflect the current Rivals Rundown football inputs and are refreshed as the underlying information changes.
Model version 5. RPR, rankings, margins and probabilities are estimates, not guarantees.