Mountain West · Huskies · DeKalb, IL
Northern Illinois
Your complete Northern Illinois season outlook.
The defense has pieces and the run game can travel, but an interim staff, zero returning defensive starters and extreme geographic travel create a low floor.
Home stadiumHuskie StadiumRPR rank#125Projected-wins rank#129
Projected wins2.99Most likely: 3 wins · 80% range 2–4
Rundown Power Rating -18.4Neutral-field strength
RPR Rank #125National power position
Schedule Strength Rank#79Opponent difficulty
Projected-Wins Rank #129Strength plus schedule
Market total3.5
Adjusted Edge -0.59
Probability over34%
Market basis12 games
Team profile
RPR and model ratings
- Rundown Power Rating
- -18.4
- National RPR Rank
- #125
- Schedule strength rank
- #79
- Average opponent power
- -5.5
- Offense rating
- 13.6
- Defense rating
- 31.7
- Projected QB
- Jalen Macon / Brady Danielson
- QB starts
- 0
- QB confidence
- Low
- Head coach
- Rob Harley
- Returning starters
- 4
- Portal rank
- 7
- Roster fragility
- 81.5
Record outcomes
Win distribution
02.6%
112.0%
223.8%
327.3%
419.9%
510.0%
63.5%
70.8%
8<1%
9<1%
10<1%
11<1%
12<1%
13<1%
Game by game
2026 projected scores and probabilities
Expected scores and margins are model means, not exact-score guarantees.
Each matchup becomes a compact projection card on portrait phones.
| Game | Date | Opponent | Location | Projected score | Projected total | Projected margin | Win probability | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5, 2026 | Away | 6–39 | 45.5 | -33.0 | 1% | Low | |
| 2 | Sep 12, 2026 | Illinois State | Home | 19–29 | 48.2 | -9.6 | 26% | Low |
| 3 | Sep 19, 2026 | Away | 9–40 | 48.6 | -31.4 | 2% | Medium | |
| 4 | Sep 26, 2026 | Away | 27–24 | 51.9 | +3.0 | 58% | Low | |
| 5 | Oct 10, 2026 | Home | 18–31 | 48.8 | -13.6 | 18% | Medium | |
| 6 | Oct 17, 2026 | Away | 15–27 | 42.3 | -11.4 | 22% | Medium | |
| 7 | Oct 24, 2026 | Home | 19–31 | 50.2 | -12.6 | 20% | Medium | |
| 8 | Oct 31, 2026 | Away | 14–39 | 52.8 | -25.3 | 5% | Medium | |
| 9 | Nov 7, 2026 | Away | 21–27 | 48.5 | -6.4 | 34% | Low | |
| 10 | Nov 14, 2026 | Home | 21–25 | 45.7 | -3.9 | 40% | Low | |
| 11 | Nov 21, 2026 | Away | 14–34 | 47.2 | -19.9 | 9% | Medium | |
| 12 | Nov 28, 2026 | Home | 25–21 | 46.8 | +4.1 | 61% | Low |
Projection context
These projections reflect the current Rivals Rundown football inputs and are refreshed as the underlying information changes.
Model version 5. RPR, rankings, margins and probabilities are estimates, not guarantees.