American · Green Wave · New Orleans, LA
Tulane
Your complete Tulane season outlook.
Will Hall, an experienced quarterback competition and a manageable conference schedule keep Tulane near the top despite significant roster turnover.
Home stadiumYulman StadiumRPR rank#87Projected-wins rank#66
Projected wins6.63Most likely: 7 wins · 80% range 5–8
Rundown Power Rating -4.9Neutral-field strength
RPR Rank #87National power position
Schedule Strength Rank#96Opponent difficulty
Projected-Wins Rank #66Strength plus schedule
Market total7.5
Adjusted Edge -0.60
Probability over29%
Market basis12 games
Team profile
RPR and model ratings
- Rundown Power Rating
- -4.9
- National RPR Rank
- #87
- Schedule strength rank
- #96
- Average opponent power
- -7.6
- Offense rating
- 22.6
- Defense rating
- 28.2
- Projected QB
- Kadin Semonza / Beau Pribula
- QB starts
- 15
- QB confidence
- Medium
- Head coach
- Will Hall
- Returning starters
- 5
- Portal rank
- 11
- Roster fragility
- 63.1
Record outcomes
Win distribution
0<1%
1<1%
2<1%
31.8%
46.5%
514.8%
622.8%
724.4%
817.6%
98.5%
102.7%
11<1%
12<1%
13<1%
Game by game
2026 projected scores and probabilities
Expected scores and margins are model means, not exact-score guarantees.
Each matchup becomes a compact projection card on portrait phones.
| Game | Date | Opponent | Location | Projected score | Projected total | Projected margin | Win probability | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5, 2026 | Away | 21–34 | 55.9 | -13.0 | 19% | Medium | |
| 2 | Sep 12, 2026 | Home | 33–22 | 54.8 | +10.5 | 76% | Medium | |
| 3 | Sep 19, 2026 | Away | 18–36 | 53.7 | -17.6 | 12% | Medium | |
| 4 | Sep 26, 2026 | Home | 37–16 | 53.3 | +20.4 | 91% | Low | |
| 5 | Oct 10, 2026 | Away | 23–28 | 51.4 | -4.6 | 38% | Medium | |
| 6 | Oct 16, 2026 | Home | 27–28 | 54.9 | -1.3 | 47% | Low | |
| 7 | Oct 24, 2026 | Home | 28–29 | 56.5 | -0.9 | 48% | Low | |
| 8 | Oct 30, 2026 | Away | 38–14 | 51.6 | +23.5 | 94% | Medium | |
| 9 | Nov 7, 2026 | Home | 29–24 | 53.1 | +4.1 | 61% | Medium | |
| 10 | Nov 14, 2026 | Away | 28–22 | 49.7 | +6.7 | 67% | Medium | |
| 11 | Nov 21, 2026 | Home | 32–23 | 55.3 | +8.7 | 72% | Low | |
| 12 | Nov 27, 2026 | Away | 25–30 | 54.6 | -4.9 | 37% | Low |
Projection context
These projections reflect the current Rivals Rundown football inputs and are refreshed as the underlying information changes.
Model version 5. RPR, rankings, margins and probabilities are estimates, not guarantees.