American · Owls · Philadelphia, PA
Temple
Your complete Temple season outlook.
Nine returning starters and K.C. Keeler's program development support a move toward bowl contention; quarterback inexperience remains the central risk.
Home stadiumLincoln Financial FieldRPR rank#102Projected-wins rank#91
Projected wins5.63Most likely: 6 wins · 80% range 4–7
Rundown Power Rating -8.4Neutral-field strength
RPR Rank #102National power position
Schedule Strength Rank#90Opponent difficulty
Projected-Wins Rank #91Strength plus schedule
Market total5.5
Adjusted Edge +0.13
Probability over53%
Market basis12 games
Team profile
RPR and model ratings
- Rundown Power Rating
- -8.4
- National RPR Rank
- #102
- Schedule strength rank
- #90
- Average opponent power
- -7.1
- Offense rating
- 25.1
- Defense rating
- 34.1
- Projected QB
- Jaxon Smolik / Ajani Sheppard
- QB starts
- 0
- QB confidence
- Low-Medium
- Head coach
- K.C. Keeler
- Returning starters
- 9
- Portal rank
- 5
- Roster fragility
- 60.0
Record outcomes
Win distribution
0<1%
1<1%
21.6%
36.4%
415.4%
523.4%
624.4%
717.1%
88.3%
92.6%
100.5%
11<1%
12<1%
13<1%
Game by game
2026 projected scores and probabilities
Expected scores and margins are model means, not exact-score guarantees.
Each matchup becomes a compact projection card on portrait phones.
| Game | Date | Opponent | Location | Projected score | Projected total | Projected margin | Win probability | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5, 2026 | Rhode Island | Home | 29–27 | 56.0 | +1.8 | 55% | Low |
| 2 | Sep 12, 2026 | Home | 17–40 | 56.3 | -22.8 | 6% | Medium | |
| 3 | Sep 19, 2026 | Away | 27–26 | 52.0 | +0.3 | 51% | Low | |
| 4 | Sep 25, 2026 | Home | 26–30 | 56.1 | -4.2 | 39% | Medium | |
| 5 | Oct 3, 2026 | Away | 25–34 | 59.4 | -9.0 | 27% | Low | |
| 6 | Oct 10, 2026 | Home | 31–26 | 56.4 | +5.2 | 64% | Low | |
| 7 | Oct 17, 2026 | Home | 42–15 | 56.4 | +26.6 | 96% | Medium | |
| 8 | Oct 31, 2026 | Away | 23–32 | 54.9 | -9.0 | 27% | Medium | |
| 9 | Nov 7, 2026 | Away | 22–35 | 57.4 | -12.5 | 20% | Medium | |
| 10 | Nov 14, 2026 | Home | 36–24 | 59.7 | +11.9 | 79% | Low | |
| 11 | Nov 19, 2026 | Home | 32–23 | 54.5 | +8.6 | 72% | Medium | |
| 12 | Nov 27, 2026 | Away | 25–35 | 59.7 | -10.2 | 25% | Low |
Projection context
These projections reflect the current Rivals Rundown football inputs and are refreshed as the underlying information changes.
Model version 5. RPR, rankings, margins and probabilities are estimates, not guarantees.